Everton host West Ham United at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Monday, in a match that brings together two sides searching for consistency in the early stages of the Premier League season. The Toffees have shown defensive resilience, while West Ham will be kicking off a new era after Graham Potter’s sacking. With kick-off approaching, the key question is whether Everton’s creative edge can break through West Ham’s technical precision—or if the Hammers’ higher pass accuracy can finally deliver results on Merseyside.
Our predictions for Everton vs West Ham
Based on Everton’s defensive solidity and West Ham’s recent struggles, we’re most confident in a home win, with the Toffees’ superior Expected Goals and clean sheet record standing out. Our other picks focus on goal markets and player involvement, using the latest stats to find value.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton to Win | 4/6 @ Sky Bet (60%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Everton have kept two clean sheets from their five league games this season. Both of those clean sheets have come at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. West Ham, meanwhile, have lost four of their five league games this season. |
| Iliman Ndiaye to Score or Assist | 11/10 @ Sky Bet (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Iliman Ndiaye has been directly involved in three of Everton’s six Premier League goals this season. |
Our approach: Start with Everton to win, add Under 2.5 Goals for accumulator potential. Consider Iliman Ndiaye to score or assist after his fine start to the season.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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How both teams go into Everton vs West Ham
Everton will be fairly happy with their start to the new campaign. The 2025-26 season marks a new era at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, as Everton men bade farewell to Goodison Park. The Toffees are unbeaten in their two home league games so far, winning one and drawing the other. They have also picked up a second win on the road. But that three-game unbeaten run has been bookended by two defeats. And Everton lost the Merseyside derby to Liverpool last weekend. So they’ll be looking to bounce back.
West Ham come into this game in disarray. The Hammers sit in the relegation zone with four defeats from their five league games. And now there will be a new man in the dugout. The start to the season proved to be too poor for Potter to keep his job. But the timing of the sacking was strange. Potter had taken the pre-match press conference ahead of this game, including talks about memes involving him in the week. But he was then sacked on Saturday morning, and replaced by Nuno Espirito Santo.
Everton team news
Everton are looking fairly fresh in terms of injury. Jarrad Branthwaite and Merlin Rohl are the only confirmed absentees for the Toffees.
West Ham team news
Tomas Soucek serves the second game of his suspension after getting sent off against Tottenham Hotspur. Aaron Wan-Bissaka misses out through injury.
Season form & standings
Everton have started in mid-table with a mixed bag of results, while West Ham sit near the bottom after a leaky start. Everton’s defensive record (just five conceded in five games) has been their foundation, while West Ham’s -8 goal difference underlines their issues.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| West Ham United | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
Potential match-winners
- Iliman Ndiaye (Everton): Two goals, seven chances created and 75% shot accuracy. Involved in nearly every Everton attack, and his creative spark makes him the most influential player on the pitch.
- Lucas Paqueta (West Ham): Two goals scored alongside six chances created. The Hammers’ playmaker has proven he can unlock a defence despite his team’s struggles..
Head-to-head: Last 5 meetings
This fixture has been finely balanced in recent seasons, with both sides claiming six or seven wins each in the last 17 meetings. The last two clashes ended level, underlining the tight margins often at play.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 | Everton 1-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| 09/11/24 | West Ham 0-0 Everton | Premier League |
| 02/03/24 | Everton 1-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| 29/10/23 | West Ham 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| 21/01/23 | West Ham 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
Who holds the edge?
Will Everton’s defence hold firm against West Ham’s technical playmakers, or can the Hammers reverse their fortunes on the road? With Everton boasting the better all-round numbers and West Ham still shipping goals, our strongest view is to side with the Toffees at 4/6 (60%) with Sky Bet for the win. This match looks set to be tight, but Everton’s creative efficiency and defensive discipline should see them edge it.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.