Derby County host Norwich City in a high-stakes encounter at Pride Park, with both sides desperate to climb away from the foot of the table.
Despite sharing identical points tallies and goal-scoring records in the 2025/26 campaign so far, form and head-to-head history suggest this could be a tightly contested battle. Kick-off is set for 7:45 PM on Tuesday, in a match that sees two teams with plenty to prove and little room for error as the season gathers pace.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on shot numbers, finishing trends and recent head-to-head results, our top betting recommendations for Derby County vs Norwich City focus on the likelihood of a close contest and the standout form of Norwich striker Josh Sargent. We’re particularly confident in Both Teams to Score, given both sides’ defensive records and their matching goal tallies.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both have conceded over a goal per game, and scored 11 each so far. |
| Josh Sargent Anytime Goalscorer | 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Norwich’s main threat: 5 goals, 40% shot accuracy, most shots of any player here. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Both Derby County and Norwich City have collected 8 points from 10 matches, scoring 11 goals apiece. Derby have been held to draws five times, while Norwich have lost more games but shown slightly sharper attacking stats.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | 20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| Derby County | 21 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Josh Sargent (Norwich): 5 goals, 40% shot accuracy, averages 2.8 shots per 90 minutes. Norwich’s most consistent threat.
- Carlton Morris (Derby): 4 goals, but a lower shot accuracy (22.2%) and averages 1.6 shots per 90. Derby’s main hope in front of goal.
- Jovon Makama (Norwich): 2 goals from just 145 minutes played, with an eye-catching 50% shot accuracy. Super-sub potential.
Both sides’ top scorers are yet to register an assist, highlighting a reliance on individual finishing rather than creative build-up. Norwich’s superior pass completion (81.3%) could offer more control in midfield.
Head-to-Head
These sides have met nine times since 2017, with three wins apiece and three draws. The last few meetings have been especially close, including a 1-1 draw in February 2025.
Last 9 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 08/02/25 | Norwich City 1-1 Derby County | Championship |
| 28/09/24 | Derby County 2-3 Norwich City | Championship |
| 10/04/21 | Derby County 0-1 Norwich City | Championship |
| 03/10/20 | Norwich City 0-1 Derby County | Championship |
| 29/12/18 | Norwich City 3-4 Derby County | Championship |
| 03/10/18 | Derby County 1-1 Norwich City | Championship |
| 10/02/18 | Derby County 1-1 Norwich City | Championship |
| 28/10/17 | Norwich City 1-2 Derby County | Championship |
| 02/01/17 | Norwich City 3-0 Derby County | Championship |
Conclusion
Will Derby County finally turn their draws into wins, or will Norwich’s sharper attacking edge, led by Josh Sargent, prove decisive? With both teams evenly matched on season form and recent head-to-heads, a cautious approach is sensible – but there’s clear value in Both Teams to Score at 10/11 with Bet365 (52.4%) as a starting point for any bet builder.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.