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Squawka / News / Derby vs Millwall: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Derby vs Millwall: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Derby County welcome Millwall to Pride Park in a Championship encounter on Wednesday evening that can be seen live on Sky Sports. Below you can find our match preview along with our best bets for the game. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on recent form and season-long trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Derby County vs Millwall. We’re especially confident in backing Millwall on the double chance, given their head-to-head dominance and defensive solidity. Here’s how our best bets shape up for this clash:

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams To Score – NoBet365 8/11 (57.9%)⭐⭐⭐Millwall have kept 7 clean sheets in 19 and Derby’s attack can misfire.
Correct Score 1-1Bet365 5/1 (16.7%)⭐⭐Two of the last four H2Hs ended level and both sides struggle for goals.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date. Millwall are flying high in the top three, while Derby County find themselves in the bottom half after a dip in results. Here’s how the table looks after 19 matches:

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Millwall31910452325-234
Derby County15197572628-226

Potential Match-Winners

  • Carlton Morris (Derby): 10 goals in 16 games, leads the line, 3 headed goals, 62 touches in the opposition box, but just 23% shot accuracy. Derby’s cutting edge.
  • Jacob Widell Zetterstrom (Derby): 61 saves (2nd in the league), 3 clean sheets; faces a lot of shots – Derby rely on his reflexes.
  • Macaulay Langstaff (Millwall): Key forward option, looking to profit against a Derby defence conceding nearly 1.5 per game.
  • Millwall Defence: 7 clean sheets, 462 successful headers, the backbone of their top-three push.

Head-to-Head

Millwall have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, winning six of the last twelve meetings with Derby, including a 1-0 win at Pride Park last time. Draws are also common, with three in the last dozen clashes.

Last 8 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
22/02/25Derby County 0-1 MillwallChampionship
19/10/24Millwall 1-1 Derby CountyChampionship
23/02/22Derby County 1-2 MillwallChampionship
06/11/21Millwall 1-1 Derby CountyChampionship
13/03/21Derby County 0-1 MillwallChampionship
05/12/20Millwall 0-1 Derby CountyChampionship
20/06/20Millwall 2-3 Derby CountyChampionship
14/12/19Derby County 0-1 MillwallChampionship

Conclusion

With Millwall boasting the better defensive record, historical head-to-head edge, and a top-three league position, the smart money is on the visitors to avoid defeat. Derby will need a big performance and backing a low scoring affair or a 1-1 draw looks a nice way into the betting markets here.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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