Como welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia for a crucial Serie A clash on 14 February 2026, kick-off 14:00.
With Como pushing for European spots and Fiorentina battling to escape the drop zone, this fixture brings together two sides with contrasting fortunes and plenty at stake. Recent meetings have produced narrow margins, but Como’s blend of defensive steel and attacking efficiency makes them clear favourites on paper as they look to extend their strong home form.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Como’s outstanding defensive record and Fiorentina’s ongoing struggles at both ends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Como win given their superior stats across the pitch, while the value in the goals markets and both teams to score should not be overlooked.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como to Win | 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Como to win because they’ve lost only 4 of 23 league games (best defensive record in Serie A, conceding just 0.7 goals per match) and have a recent away win at Fiorentina. Fiorentina have just 3 wins from 24, shipping 38 goals already. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 1/1 @ Betfair (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Como’s defensive solidity (only 16 conceded in 23) and Fiorentina’s lack of firepower (just 27 scored in 24). Como have averaged less than a goal against per game, while Fiorentina often fail to find the net when facing top-six sides. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Sky Bet Offer: Get £40 in free bets when you place any bet
Looking for some free bets to boost your betting fund? Sky Bet are offering customers the chance to get £40 in free bets when they sign up and place any qualifying bet.
- Sign up at Sky Bet using this link
- Place a qualifying bet of at least 5p on a single or each way bet at odds of 1/1 or greater, as your first bet
- Claim your £40 free bet bonus
18+ NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY ODDS OF 1/1 OR GREATER. 4 X £10 BET TOKENS. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. FREE BETS EXPIRE AFTER 30 DAYS. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&CS APPLY.
Season Form & Standings
Como are flying high in 6th with 41 points from 23 games, boasting a +21 goal difference. Fiorentina languish in 18th, just inside the relegation zone, with only 18 points from 24 matches and a -11 differential. Como’s balance between attack and defence has set them apart, while Fiorentina’s issues at both ends are plain to see.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 6 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 16 | +21 | 41 |
| Fiorentina | 18 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 18 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Anastasios Douvikas (Como): 8 goals in 23 league games, 43.5% shot accuracy, and 72 touches in the box show he’s Como’s main threat. He averages nearly 0.8 shots on target per match.
- Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn (Como): Regular starter and creative wide man, his off-ball movement creates space for Como’s forwards.
- Albert Guðmundsson (Fiorentina): Fiorentina’s most consistent forward, often involved in their better attacking moves, and will need to be at his sharpest to break Como’s defence.
- David de Gea (Fiorentina): With 75 saves already, Fiorentina’s keeper is busy and often their last line of resistance. His performance could keep the scoreline respectable.
Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings
These teams have met three times in recent seasons, with Como winning twice away and Fiorentina once on the road. All matches have been decided by narrow margins, and neither side has managed to dominate consistently.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 | Fiorentina 1-2 Como | Serie A |
| 16/02/25 | Fiorentina 0-2 Como | Serie A |
| 24/11/24 | Como 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Final Thoughts
With Como boasting the league’s tightest defence and a far superior attack, the odds are rightly stacked in their favour as they look to push towards Europe. Fiorentina’s porous backline and lack of cutting edge up front leave them vulnerable, especially away from home. Will Como’s balanced approach and home advantage prove decisive, or can Fiorentina spring a surprise? Our top tip is Como to win at 8/11 with Betfair (57.9% implied probability), and their relentless form makes them hard to oppose in this one.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
