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Squawka / News / Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Celta de Vigo welcome Athletic Club to Balaídos in what promises to be a closely fought La Liga clash this weekend.

Set for kick-off on Sunday evening, both sides are separated by just four points and have plenty on the line as they seek to strengthen their positions in the league table. With Athletic holding the historical edge in recent head-to-heads, but Celta showing more creativity in attack this season, the stage is set for a fascinating tactical battle in Galicia.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on current form, recent meetings, and statistical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net, given Celta’s attacking intent and defensive frailties, paired with Athletic’s solid xG numbers.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score: Yes10/11 @ Bet365
(52.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Celta concede often (19 in 15), Athletic’s xG is strong. 4 of last 5 H2H had both teams score.
Draw11/5 @ Bet365
(31.3%)
⭐⭐⭐Celta have drawn 7 of 15 this season; teams evenly matched on recent form.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Both sides are mid-table but with contrasting profiles. Athletic Club sit 7th with 23 points from 16 matches (W7 D2 L7), while Celta de Vigo are 10th on 19 points from 15 (W4 D7 L4). Celta’s high draw count and slightly negative goal difference (-1) underline their tendency for tight games, but also show vulnerability at the back.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Athletic Club7167271520-523
Celta de Vigo10154741819-119

Potential Match-Winners

Neither team boasts a player among the league’s leading scorers or assist providers, highlighting a collective approach over individual brilliance. Nevertheless, a handful of attackers will be crucial:

  • Iago Aspas (Celta): The experienced forward remains a creative force, contributing to Celta’s high assist-to-goal ratio (13 assists for 18 goals, 72%).
  • Borja Iglesias (Celta): Brings physical presence and can trouble Athletic’s backline, especially with Celta’s 86% pass accuracy feeding him chances.
  • Alejandro Berenguer (Athletic): Athletic’s direct runner, vital for stretching Celta’s defence and exploiting transitional moments. Athletic’s xG of 20.1 suggests Berenguer could be due a return.
  • Nico Williams (Athletic): Creative outlet on the wing, key for breaking through Celta’s midfield lines.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

Athletic Club have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 9 of the last 18 encounters in all competitions. The last five clashes have been high-scoring and competitive, with both teams often finding the net.

DateScoreCompetition
19/01/25Celta de Vigo 1-2 Athletic ClubLaLiga
22/09/24Athletic Club 3-1 Celta de VigoLaLiga
15/05/24Celta de Vigo 2-1 Athletic ClubLaLiga
10/11/23Athletic Club 4-3 Celta de VigoLaLiga
20/05/23Athletic Club 2-1 Celta de VigoLaLiga

Conclusion

Will Celta’s creative passing and home advantage be enough to overcome Athletic’s defensive grit and recent head-to-head edge? With both teams showing vulnerability at the back and neither possessing a standout goalscorer, this match looks finely poised. For punters, 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) on Both Teams to Score stands out as the best value pick for a fixture that consistently delivers drama at both ends. Backing the draw or Athletic away win also carries merit for those seeking higher returns.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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