Canada and Iceland clash in a friendly on Saturday evening with Canada looking to build momentum before hosting the 2026 World Cup.
Canada have lost just two of their last 10 matches while Iceland have won just three in the same period. Can Canada continue their good form when the two meet at BMO Field (kick off 17:00 UK time) or will Iceland derail the Canucks’ impressive run?
Best Bets & Predictions
With the last six Canada matches ending with less than 2.5 goals, and Iceland struggling for form, we’re confident in backing there being under 2.5 goals in this contest. We’re also happy to suggest Cyle Larin might continue his good form for Southampton on the international stage.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 19/20 @ Bet365 (51.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Under 2.5 goals looks strong: Canada’s last six matches average just 0.83 total goals, with 100% finishing under 2.5 and 0% BTTS. Head-to-head meetings also average only 2.0 goals, with 75% under 2.5. Canada score just 0.67 per game recently, reinforcing a low-scoring trend. |
| Cyle Larin Anytime Goalscorer | 11/8 @ Sky Bet (42.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Cyle Larin anytime scorer is a strong bet given his proven record for Canada. He has scored 30 international goals in 87 appearances (0.34 per game) and was top scorer in 2022 World Cup qualifying with 13 goals. At club level, he’s scored four goals in 11 appearances since his move to the South Coast in January. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Recent Form
Canada’s recent form across their last six matches has been defined by defensive solidity but limited attacking output. They’ve recorded three wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring just 4 goals (0.67 per game) while conceding only 1 (0.17 per game). Notably, they’ve kept five clean sheets in that period, including back-to-back 0-0 draws against Colombia and Ecuador, highlighting strong organisation at the back.
Recent results such as 2-0 and 1-0 wins show efficiency rather than attacking dominance. Overall, Canada are extremely difficult to break down but lack consistent goal threat, leading to low-scoring, tightly contested matches.
Iceland’s recent form across their last six matches has been inconsistent, with one win, one draw and four defeats. They’ve scored 8 goals (1.33 per game) while conceding 15 (2.5 per game), highlighting a team that can attack but is vulnerable defensively. BTTS has landed in three of those six matches, showing both scoring ability and defensive fragility.
Notable results include a 2-0 win over Azerbaijan and a 2-2 draw with France, reflecting competitive spirit but low consistency against stronger sides. Over those six games, two went under 2.5 goals, while four exceeded it, giving an average of 3.83 total goals per match.
Overall, Iceland show flashes of attacking threat but remain prone to conceding, making them a team that can both score and be scored against in upcoming fixtures.
Canada team news
Canada’s team news ahead of their friendly with Iceland sees head coach Jesse Marsch selecting a 26‑man roster as part of World Cup preparations, including key players like Jonathan David and Alistair Johnston. Alphonso Davies will not be called up due to injury, missing the friendly and the Tunisia match later in the window.
Defender Joel Waterman and midfielder Ralph Priso have been called up to camp, offering defensive depth and fresh options in midfield. The selection reflects a mix of experienced internationals and emerging talents as Canada use these friendlies to finalise their World Cup squad and build cohesion ahead of the summer finals.
Iceland team news
Coach Arnar Gunnlaugsson named the squad for both the Canada and Haiti friendlies this month, with players called up from European and MLS clubs as they continue preparation after missing World Cup qualification. The group includes regular internationals such as Dagur Dan Þórhallsson and others set to feature, showing consistency in selection. There are no major injury withdrawals reported, suggesting Iceland will field a competitive side for the match.
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
There have been four meetings between these two nations over the years, although none of those have been a competitive fixture. Canada have never picked up a win against Iceland, with two draws and two Iceland victories being the end results.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 16/01/20 | Canada 0-1 Iceland | Friendly |
| 19/01/15 | Canada 1-1 Iceland | Friendly |
| 16/01/15 | Canada 1-2 Iceland | Friendly |
| 22/08/07 | Iceland 1-1 Canada | Friendly |
Conclusion: Will Canada continue World Cup momentum?
Canada and Iceland meet at BMO Field on Saturday night with the home side looking to gain some vital momentum ahead of the World Cup. We’re backing Under 2.5 Goals at 19/20 with Bet365 but, when looking for a little more value on prices, we like the look of Cyle Larin to score anytime at 11/8 with Sky Bet.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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