Burnley welcome Crystal Palace to Turf Moor on Wednesday night, with both sides seeking crucial Premier League points as the season approaches its busy winter run.
Kick-off is set for 19:30 on 3 December 2025. The Clarets are desperate for a turnaround after a tough start, but face a Palace side that boasts one of the league’s better defensive records and a recent edge in head-to-head encounters. With league position and confidence on the line, this clash promises high stakes for both Scott Parker’s men and Oliver Glasner’s Eagles.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on current form and statistical trends, our top betting recommendations lean heavily towards Crystal Palace, who have established superior defensive and attacking numbers this season. We’re particularly confident in backing Palace to win, given Burnley’s struggles at both ends of the pitch and Palace’s record of clean sheets. Here are our most compelling picks for this fixture:
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace to Win | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Crystal Palace appears well-positioned to secure a victory against Burnley at Turf Moor. Palace is currently 9th in the league, while Burnley is struggling at 19th. Burnley’s home form is poor, with only two wins at Turf Moor this season. In contrast, Crystal Palace has been performing well on the road. The head-to-head record is evenly matched, with nine wins each and six draws in their last 24 meetings, but Palace’s current form gives them a distinct advantage. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | A low-scoring affair seems probable at Turf Moor. Historically, matches between Burnley and Crystal Palace have often been tight, with under 2.5 goals in 16 of their last 24 encounters. This season, Burnley has struggled for goals at home, averaging just 0.83 per game. Crystal Palace boasts a strong defense, especially away, conceding only 0.67 goals per game on average. Furthermore, 58% of Palace’s matches this season have finished with under 2.5 goals. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Burnley vs Crystal Palace match odds
How both teams head into Burnley vs Crystal Palace
Burnley are in a terrible run of form, having lost their last four games in the Premier League. It’s a run that has seen them drop to 19th in the league, although the relegation battle is a close one with four teams all within two points of each other. It doesn’t make much better reading for Burnley’s home form, with the Clarets losing their last two at Turf Moor and collecting just seven points from a possible 18. One thing that Burnley have been able to do at home is keep the goals out, though. They’ve conceded just six goals in six game at home but this has come at the expense of goals at the other end of the pitch, with Burnley scoring just five times.
Crystal Palace have performed well this season but have been a little inconsistent of late, winning two but losing two of their last five games in the Premier League. This has seen them consolidate their position in ninth in what is becoming a very close run race for the top places in the league. Indeed Palace are just five points off of second placed, Man City and a win here could see them rise as high as fifth. The Eagles have some really good away form this season, conceding just four times in six matches away from Selhurst Park and they currently have the fourth best away record in the entire league.
Burnley team news
Zeki Amdouni is a long term absentee and isn’t expected back in action until around Easter, while Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer are still around a month from returning for Scott Parker’s side. They remain the only injury worries ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.
Crystal Palace team news
Crystal Palace have some issues in the centre of midfield with Cheick Doucoure missing out once again. Chadi Riad could miss out again too, while Borna Sosa, Rio Cardines and Caleb Kporha won’t feature.
Season Form & Standings
Crystal Palace have emerged as mid-table stabilisers with a +6 goal difference and 20 points from 13 games, sitting 9th. Burnley, meanwhile, are in the relegation zone (19th), having won just 3 of their opening 13 fixtures and conceding over two goals per match on average.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 9 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| Burnley | 19 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Crystal Palace have edged this matchup in recent years, winning 6 of the last 13 meetings (Burnley 5, Draws 2), including both games in the most recent season. Here’s how the last five encounters finished:
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/02/24 | Crystal Palace 3-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 04/11/23 | Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 26/02/22 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| 20/11/21 | Burnley 3-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 13/02/21 | Crystal Palace 0-3 Burnley | Premier League |
Conclusion
Can Burnley’s Turf Moor spirit and the energy of Broja and Edwards disrupt Palace’s defensive discipline and recent dominance? With Palace’s clean sheet prowess and Burnley’s attacking woes, the odds suggest another Eagles win—especially at 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%). Expect a tight contest, but Palace’s organisation and chance creation make them likely to capitalise on Burnley’s vulnerabilities.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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