Bournemouth welcome high-flying Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon. Kick-off is set for 3:00pm on the South Coast, and below you can find our match preview and best bets, which include an anytime goalscorer and a player to be carded.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Kroupi to score anytime | 19/10 @ BetMGM (34.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Bournemouth teenager Junior Kroupi has the best shot conversion rate of any player to have 10 shots in the Premier League this season (38.1%), while he also the best minutes-per-goal ratio of anyone to score more than once this term (one every 98 minutes. Bournemouth have improved in recent weeks and have won three of their last four. A high-scoring contest looks likely. |
| Marcos Senesi to be Carded | 13/5 @ BetMGM (40.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | 36 cards have been shown across the last six meetings between these two teams, with 13 being shown in one game last season. Saturday’s referee, Anthony Taylor, isn’t shy when it comes to dishing out the punishments and the player we like the look of to find their way into the book is Marcos Senesi. The defender is Bournemouth’s most carded player this season, with seven yellows and looks primed for another here against the likes of Watkins, Rogers and Buendia. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
How both teams go into Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
Bournemouth are in 12th place on 33 points, having scored 40 goals and conceded 43. With 14 matches to play, the Cherries trail fifth-placed Chelsea by seven points for a spot in the Europa League. Bournemouth won their last Premier League match 2-0 at Molineux Stadium against Wolverhampton Wanderers, extending their unbeaten streak to four.
Aston Villa’s last Premier League match ended in a 1-0 defeat to Brentford at Villa Park, leaving them in third place on 46 points with 14 matches to play. Villa trail first-placed Arsenal by seven points and lead fifth-placed Chelsea by six for a spot in the Champions League.
Bournemouth team news
Justin Kluivert, Marcus Tavernier, Tyler Adams and Ben Doak are out for the hosts.
Aston Villa team news
Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Ollie Watkins are all injured.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date. Aston Villa have cemented themselves as top-four contenders, while Bournemouth’s attacking flair has kept them clear of relegation worries, though their defensive record remains a concern.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 46 |
| Bournemouth | 12 | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 33 |
Head-to-Head
Last 6 Meetings
In the last six meetings, Villa edge the head-to-head with 3 wins to Bournemouth’s 2 and one draw. The most recent fixture saw Bournemouth claim a dominant 4-0 win at home, but Villa have been stronger overall, outscoring Bournemouth 16-10 across the last 9 encounters.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 | Bournemouth 4-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 10/05/25 | Aston Villa 0-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 26/10/24 | Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 21/04/24 | Bournemouth 3-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 03/12/23 | Aston Villa 2-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 18/03/23 | Bournemouth 3-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Conclusion: Will Villa’s Control Trump Bournemouth’s Firepower?
The result looks a little tricky to predict, so we’ve picked out two player props. The first is for Junior Kroupi to continue his good form and get on the scoresheet, while we also like the look of Marcos Senesi to find his way into the book.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
