Borussia Dortmund face Heidenheim at Signal Iduna Park in a clash that pits one of the Bundesliga’s most balanced sides against a team fighting to escape the foot of the table.
Kick off is at 4:30pm on Sunday, where Dortmund’s attacking edge and clean sheet record will be up against a Heidenheim side that’s been under pressure all campaign. Below, we break down the key stats, form, and the best bets for this encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Dortmund’s dominance in both head-to-head and season-long stats, here are our top betting recommendations for the match. We’re especially confident in a home win given the gulf in attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy | 13/10 @ Betfair (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Guirassy has found the net 6 times with an xG of 4.95 over 19 games, and Heidenheim’s leaky defence (42 conceded) has struggled with mobile forwards all year. |
| Heidenheim Over 2.5 Cards | 6/4 @ SkyBet (40.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Heidenheim face more tackles (281) and duels (872) than Dortmund, indicating they spend long spells defending. Chasing the match, expect disciplinary trouble. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
The gulf between these sides is clear in the Bundesliga table. Dortmund sit 2nd with 42 points from 19 matches, boasting a goal difference of +21 and the second best defensive record in the league. Heidenheim are bottom, with just 13 points and a staggering -25 goal difference, failing to keep a single clean sheet.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 38 | 17 | +21 | 42 |
| Heidenheim | 18 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 13 |
Potential Match-Winners
Players to Watch
- Maximilian Beier (Dortmund) – 6 goals so far, hitting the target with 54% of his shots. Averages a goal every 159 minutes, making him a constant threat inside the box.
- Serhou Guirassy (Dortmund) – Also on 6 goals, he’s Dortmund’s most consistent forward with a healthy 4.95 xG and a shot every 232 minutes. Often gets on the end of Dortmund’s best chances.
- Jonas Fohrenbach (Heidenheim) – The most creative Heidenheim player from defence, leading his side in expected assists (2.03) and contributing 13 accurate crosses so far.
- Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) – 10 clean sheets and just 17 conceded, with 49 saves made. A calm, reliable presence at the back, crucial for protecting leads.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Dortmund are unbeaten in the last five meetings against Heidenheim, winning three and drawing two, with a goal difference of +5 in that span.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 | Heidenheim 0-2 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 01/02/25 | Heidenheim 1-2 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 13/09/24 | Borussia Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
| 02/02/24 | Heidenheim 0-0 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 01/09/23 | Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Heidenheim | Bundesliga |
Conclusion: Can Dortmund Maintain Their Dominance?
Dortmund’s superior firepower and defensive record make them clear favourites at home, but Heidenheim’s willingness to scrap means there could be action at both ends. With Heidenheim conceding over two goals per game and Dortmund boasting two prolific forwards, the smart money is on the hosts to win in style. Our top pick: Serhou Guirassy to score at 13/10 with Betfair (43.5%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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