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Squawka / News / Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

High-flying Borussia Dortmund welcome Augsburg to Signal Iduna Park in a Bundesliga encounter that pits one of the league’s most potent attacks against a side striving for consistency.

Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 14 March. Dortmund’s relentless goal-scoring form and historical dominance over Augsburg set the stage for a contest where the hosts are clear favourites, but Augsburg’s recent away resilience means nothing is guaranteed.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on comprehensive season statistics and recent trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a high-scoring outcome due to Dortmund’s prolific attack and Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Over 3.5 Goals13/10 @ Bet365
(43.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We’re backing over 3.5 goals because Dortmund average over two goals per game and have created 240 key chances this season. Augsburg concede 1.72 goals per match and both teams have matched shot counts (325 each), suggesting a game open to attacking exploits.
Both Teams To Score: No11/10 @ Boylesports
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐We’re backing BTTS No as Dortmund have kept 11 clean sheets this season (second-best in the league), and Augsburg have failed to score in key away matches. If Dortmund’s defence holds, one side could easily blank.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.


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Season Form & Standings

Borussia Dortmund have been a model of consistency, sitting second in the table with a commanding +27 goal difference. Augsburg, despite flashes of attacking threat, have struggled defensively and currently occupy ninth place after 25 games.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Borussia Dortmund22516725326+2755
Augsburg92594123143-1231

Potential Match-Winners

  • Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): Lethal in the box, Guirassy provides a direct goal threat. Dortmund’s attack revolves around his movement and finishing, contributing to their league-leading 53 goals.
  • Julian Ryerson (Borussia Dortmund): Leading the team in assists with 11, Ryerson’s ability to create from wide areas is key—he averages nearly an assist every other game and combines with Dortmund’s high pass accuracy (84%).
  • Michael Gregoritsch (Augsburg): As Augsburg’s most experienced forward, Gregoritsch can trouble defences, but he’ll need support. Augsburg’s 233 key passes show they can carve out opportunities if given space.
  • Ismaël Gharbi (Augsburg): Brings energy and unpredictability to Augsburg’s attack; his movement could be key if the visitors are to breach Dortmund’s disciplined defence.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Borussia Dortmund have claimed three wins, Augsburg two, and there has been one draw in the last six encounters. These fixtures are rarely dull, with goals for both sides a common theme.

DateScoreCompetition
31/10/25Augsburg 0-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
08/03/25Borussia Dortmund 0-1 AugsburgBundesliga
26/10/24Augsburg 2-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
04/05/24Borussia Dortmund 5-1 AugsburgBundesliga
21/12/23Augsburg 1-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
27/09/23Borussia Dortmund 2-0 AugsburgBundesliga

Final Thoughts

Will Borussia Dortmund’s dominant attack and defensive discipline prove too much for Augsburg, or can the visitors spring another surprise as they have in recent meetings? We expect goals at both ends, but Dortmund’s superior creativity, control, and clean sheet record make over 3.5 goals at 13/10 with Bet365 (43.5%) our headline tip for this clash.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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