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Squawka / News / Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Barcelona welcome Deportivo Alavés to the iconic Camp Nou, with kick-off set for Saturday afternoon.

The hosts, currently riding high near the top of La Liga, face an Alavés side struggling to find goals and form. This fixture continues a remarkable run of dominance for Barcelona, who have not lost to Alavés in their last 14 encounters. With Barcelona’s attacking firepower firing on all cylinders and Alavés looking to upset the odds, this clash offers plenty for punters and neutrals alike.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on season-long attacking stats and historical head-to-head dominance, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Barcelona win, given their scoring rate and Alavés’ limited goal threat.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Barcelona to Win2/9 @ Betfred
(81.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Barcelona unbeaten in 14 H2Hs, 12 wins. Averaging 2.77 goals/game.
Over 2.5 GoalsPrice @ Bet365⭐⭐⭐⭐Barcelona matches average 3.9 total goals; Alavés defence vulnerable against top attacks.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

This is the 2025/26 La Liga season to date, with Barcelona sitting 2nd and Alavés 14th after 13 games each. Barcelona boast a 77% win rate, 36 goals scored (2.77 per match), and a +21 goal difference. Alavés, meanwhile, have only 4 wins, a negative goal difference, and average under a goal per game.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Barcelona21310123615+2131
Deportivo Alavés14134361112-115

Potential Match-Winners

  • Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona): 8 goals in 13 matches, converting at 50% shot accuracy. Remarkably, he has delivered nearly double his xG output, highlighting his clinical finishing.
  • Ferran Torres (Barcelona): 7 goals, 56% shot accuracy, consistently dangerous with his movement and finishing.
  • Lamine Yamal (Barcelona): 6 assists already, with 16 big chance assists; a creative spark who regularly unlocks defences.
  • Pablo Duran (Alavés): Key attacking outlet, but faces a disciplined Barcelona defence with 4 clean sheets so far.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

Barcelona have dominated this fixture, winning 12 of the last 14 meetings with Alavés (2 draws, 0 losses), and scoring 35 goals to Alavés’ 7 in that stretch.

DateScoreCompetition
02/02/25Barcelona 1-0 AlavésLa Liga
06/10/24Alavés 0-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
03/02/24Alavés 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
12/11/23Barcelona 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
23/01/22Alavés 0-1 BarcelonaLa Liga

Conclusion

With Barcelona’s attack averaging nearly three goals per game and an unbeaten head-to-head record stretching back years, all signs point to another dominant display at Camp Nou. Alavés’ defensive organisation could frustrate at times, but with Lewandowski in clinical form and creative stars like Lamine Yamal and Ferran Torres supporting, the value remains with a home win at 2/9 @ Betfred (81.8%). Will Barcelona’s attacking machine prove too much yet again, or can Alavés spring a major shock?

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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