Hoffenheim make the trip to Augsburg on Friday evening with a dominant head-to-head Bundesliga record and a clear advantage in attacking output this season.
The visitors have won more than half of their last 19 meetings with Augsburg, and they sit six places higher in the table. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Friday 10 April at Augsburg’s home ground, where the hosts will be desperate to improve a leaky defence against one of the Bundesliga’s most potent attacks.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Hoffenheim’s superior offensive stats, head-to-head dominance and Augsburg’s defensive struggles, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing the away side on the 1X2 market, but with plenty of goals in recent fixtures, a goals-based bet also appeals at an attractive prices.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim to Win | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Hoffenheim have won 11 of their last 19 meetings with Augsburg, including a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture. They rank fifth in the Bundesliga and have scored 21 more goals than Augsburg this season, while the hosts have conceded 51 in 28 games. |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 7/5 @ Betvictor (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams average over 2.5 goals conceded or scored per game, and their last meeting featured three goals. Augsburg have the Bundesliga’s second-worst defence, while Hoffenheim boast the league’s fifth-best attack – a recipe for another high-scoring affair. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Hoffenheim continue to impress in the upper half of the Bundesliga, while Augsburg have struggled to keep pace, particularly at the back. Here’s how both teams stack up in the league table after 28 matches:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | 5 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 50 |
| Augsburg | 11 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 32 |
Hoffenheim’s attack is among the Bundesliga’s most productive, while Augsburg have dropped 17 points from winning positions and conceded more goals than all but a handful of sides. Hoffenheim’s ball retention (54.7% average possession) and passing accuracy (80.4%) further highlight their technical advantage.
Potential Match-Winners
- Andrej Kramarić (Hoffenheim) – The Croatian remains a consistent goal threat, supported by Hoffenheim’s 59 big chances created this season. He can exploit Augsburg’s defensive lapses and is often involved in their best moves.
- Michael Gregoritsch (Augsburg) – One of Augsburg’s main attacking outlets, Gregoritsch’s aerial ability could be crucial, though he faces a tough task against Hoffenheim’s dominant back line (576 successful aerial duels).
- Wouter Burger (Hoffenheim) – A key figure in midfield transitions, Burger’s ball-winning and distribution help control games, especially as Hoffenheim look to dominate possession.
- Elvis Rexhbeçaj (Augsburg) – Often tasked with breaking up play and starting counters, Rexhbeçaj’s energy will be vital if Augsburg are to compete centrally.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Hoffenheim have been the dominant force in recent head-to-heads, winning tw of the last five with three draws. The last meeting saw Hoffenheim run out 3-0 winners at home.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 | Hoffenheim 3-0 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 29/03/25 | Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 10/11/24 | Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 07/04/24 | Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 11/11/23 | Augsburg 1-1 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Will Hoffenheim’s attack overwhelm Augsburg’s defence? Final Thoughts
With Hoffenheim’s record of 11 wins in 19 encounters, far more goals scored, and Augsburg struggling to keep the back door shut, the visitors look well placed to take another three points. The value lies in backing Hoffenheim to win at 11/10 with Bet365 (47.6%), while those expecting fireworks can consider over 3.5 goals at 7/5 with Betvictor (41.7%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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