Freiburg travel to face Augsburg in a clash that looks to highlight the gap between mid-table stability and a Bundesliga relegation fight.
Freiburg have dominated this fixture in recent years and, with Augsburg leaking goals, the visitors will sense an opportunity to strengthen their position. Kick-off is set for 18 January at the WWK Arena.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Freiburg’s attacking edge and Augsburg’s defensive struggles, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Freiburg to win, given their superior head-to-head record and better form this season.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to Win | 6/4 @ Betfair (40.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Freiburg to win because they’ve claimed victory in nine of the last 18 meetings against Augsburg, including a 3-1 away win earlier this season. Freiburg have scored 10 more goals than Augsburg and look more composed in both boxes. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | With Augsburg conceding 32 goals in 16 matches (2.0 per game) and Freiburg scoring 27 (1.7 per game), this fixture has a strong history of delivering goals. Five of the last six meetings have produced at least three goals. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Freiburg are sitting comfortably in 8th after 17 matches, while Augsburg’s defensive issues leave them in 15th and battling to keep out of the drop zone.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 23 |
| Augsburg | 15 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg): Freiburg’s leading scorer with 6 goals, also offers creative spark (1 assist). He’s averaging a goal every 2.7 games and is a consistent threat from set pieces.
- Fabian Rieder (Augsburg): Top scorer and creator for Augsburg with 3 goals and 2 assists; also leads his side in expected goals output.
- Johan Manzambi (Freiburg): Balanced contributor with 3 goals and 2 assists; his runs from midfield trouble slower defences.
- Finn Gilbert Dahmen (Augsburg): With 40 saves and 3 clean sheets, he’s key to Augsburg’s hopes of keeping Freiburg at bay.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Freiburg have enjoyed the upper hand, winning three of the last six clashes, including a 3-1 victory earlier this season. Augsburg’s last win came over a year ago, with the rest split between draws and Freiburg successes.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 | Freiburg 1-3 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 02/03/25 | Augsburg 0-0 Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 19/10/24 | Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 25/02/24 | Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 01/10/23 | Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Conclusion: Freiburg’s Form to Prove Decisive?
With a more productive attack, superior pass accuracy, and a dominant head-to-head record, Freiburg are well placed to take all three points in Augsburg. Augsburg’s defensive frailties and discipline issues leave them vulnerable, and if Grifo or Manzambi find space, it could be a long afternoon for the hosts. For those looking for value, backing Freiburg to win at 6/4 @ Betfair (40.0%) offers a solid angle.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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