Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/KY/MD/OH/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV) or (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), (800)-327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), or visit 1800gambler.net (WV)
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO/KY/MD/OH/PA/TN/VA/VT/WV) or (888) 789-7777 or visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), (800)-327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), or visit 1800gambler.net (WV)
Squawka / News / Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Atletico Madrid host Villarreal at the Metropolitano on Sunday in a clash that puts early season form under the microscope. The Yellow Submarine have surged out of the blocks to sit third, while Atletico are searching for their first win after three games. With Villarreal showing real cutting edge and defensive solidity, and Atletico desperate to kickstart their campaign, this encounter promises high stakes and tactical intrigue at 8:00 PM.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Villarreal’s clinical attack and Atletico’s slow start, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Villarreal double chance, given their unbeaten record and Atletico’s struggles in front of goal.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Villarreal Double Chance (Win or Draw)16/5 @ Bet365
(23.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Villarreal unbeaten in 3, Atletico winless. Villarreal have scored 8 and conceded just 1.
Both Teams to Score: Yes4/6 @ Bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Atletico have created chances but lack conversion; Villarreal average 2.67 goals per game.
Over 2.5 Goals8/11 @ Bet365
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐Villarreal matches average 3 goals; Atletico’s leaky defence could add to the tally.
Alexander Sørloth Anytime Scorer20/21 @ Bet365
(51.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Sørloth is Atletico’s main forward threat; Villarreal’s only goal conceded came from a striker.

Our approach: Start with Villarreal double chance, add BTTS and Over 2.5 for Bet Builder potential.

  • Bet £10 get £30
  • Excellent Football Betting Options
  • Extensive Bet-Builder
  • Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker

New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Villarreal have hit the ground running with 2 wins and a draw, while Atletico Madrid remain winless after three games, drawing twice and losing once. Villarreal’s positive goal difference (+7) underlines their early attacking intent, and Atletico’s even goal balance shows lack of cutting edge and defensive fragility.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Villarreal3321081+77
Atletico Madrid1730214402

Potential Match-Winners

  • Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal): 3 goals in 3 appearances, 1 big chance converted, 2 big chance assists, 5 successful dribbles, 85% pass accuracy. Villarreal’s driving force from midfield and attack.
  • Karl Etta Eyong (Villarreal): 2 assists, 3 big chance assists, 1 goal – creative hub, involved in most attacks.
  • Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid): Main forward threat, expected to lead the line and is a first goalscorer candidate (7/2).
  • Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid): Yet to ignite this campaign, but always a danger, especially at home.

Head-to-Head

Recent meetings between these sides have been tight, with draws the dominant outcome. In the last 16 matches, Atletico Madrid have won 5, Villarreal just 2, and 9 have ended all-square. Expect another close contest.

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
[Recent Date][Most recent result, e.g., Atletico Madrid 2-2 Villarreal]La Liga
[Previous Date][Previous result]La Liga
[Previous Date][Previous result]La Liga
[Previous Date][Previous result]La Liga
[Previous Date][Previous result]La Liga

Conclusion

Will Atletico Madrid finally break their winless run, or can Villarreal continue their superb start? The visitors look full of confidence, with Buchanan and Etta Eyong providing attacking thrust and a solid back line that has conceded just once. Atletico must up their game to match Villarreal’s efficiency. For punters, Villarreal double chance at 16/5 @ Bet365 (23.8%) leaps off the page as the standout value in a fixture that could signal a changing of the guard.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Read more: