Atletico Madrid welcome Mallorca to the Metropolitano in a La Liga clash on Sunday 25 January, kick-off at 13:00.
Diego Simeone’s side are chasing a Champions League spot, while Mallorca look to steer clear of the relegation scrap. The hosts boast a commanding head-to-head record and superior seasonal form, but can the visitors – so often reliant on Vedat Muriqi – spring a surprise?
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Atletico Madrid’s strong home form, attacking dominance, and Mallorca’s struggles away from Palma, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Atletico Madrid to win, given their historical and statistical edge.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid to Win | 3/10 @ Bet365 (76.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Atletico Madrid because they have won 7 of the last 11 meetings, have a +18 goal difference this season, and Mallorca have lost 9 of 20 league matches. The hosts’ attack and defence both rate among La Liga’s best, while Mallorca tend to struggle away from home. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Atletico’s attacking intent (35 goals from 20 games) and Mallorca’s defensive frailties (30 conceded). Previous meetings have shown a tendency for open games, and Mallorca may need to chase if they fall behind. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Atletico Madrid are in the hunt for a top-three finish, while Mallorca are looking nervously over their shoulders. Atletico’s win percentage stands at 60%, while Mallorca’s is just 25%. The goal difference gap (+18 vs -6) highlights the gulf in quality this season.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 4 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 17 | +18 | 41 |
| Mallorca | 15 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid): Consistently involved, Griezmann offers creativity and goal threat, thriving in high-possession games (Atletico average 53.5% possession).
- Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Likely to play a central attacking role, Alvarez’s movement and finishing could stretch Mallorca’s back line.
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): The focal point, Muriqi has netted 14 of Mallorca’s 24 league goals. He averages more than 2.5 shots per match, with over 50% shot accuracy and 12 clear-cut goals scored.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last six encounters, with Mallorca taking just one victory and one draw in that span.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 | Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 01/02/25 | Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 10/11/24 | Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 04/05/24 | Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 25/11/23 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 26/04/23 | Atletico Madrid 3-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
Conclusion: Will Atletico’s Class Prove Too Much?
Atletico Madrid’s blend of attacking depth, defensive solidity, and home comfort strongly suggests they should take the points here. Mallorca’s reliance on Muriqi makes them predictable, while their defensive record leaves little room for error against a top-four side. For punters, the value lies in backing Atletico Madrid at 3/10 (76.9%) with Bet365 to win, or considering the over 2.5 goals angle if you expect Mallorca to play their part.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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