Borussia Dortmund travel to Bergamo for a Champions League knockout tie against Atalanta, with the German side aiming to reach the last 16 on Wednesday evening.
Having recently triumphed 2-0 in Dortmund, confidence is high for the visitors, but Atalanta’s underlying numbers suggest this tie is far from over. Kick-off is set for 20:00 on Wednesday at the Gewiss Stadium, where both teams carry plenty of attacking threat despite differing fortunes in front of goal.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, head-to-head trends, and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net, given the attacking quality on show and defensive vulnerabilities across both squads.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have scored in two of the last three meetings. Dortmund are averaging over 2 goals per game in Europe (21 in 9), while Atalanta’s xG (17.43) suggests they’re due to convert more. Defensive slips on both sides add value to this market. |
| Borussia Dortmund to Win | 11/5 @ Bet365 (31.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Dortmund have won two of the last three head-to-heads, including a convincing 2-0 win just days ago. They’ve outperformed their xG by nearly double, showing ruthless finishing, and feature all three of the top attacking contributors so far in the competition. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Recent H2Hs average 2.7 goals per game. Dortmund matches have seen 38 goals in 9 (over 4 per game), while Atalanta create chances but struggle to convert. Expect open football as both sides need a result. |
Dabble sign-up offer: Bet £10+ & Receive £10 In Free Bets
Not signed up to Dabble yet? Here's how to claim the Bet £10+ & Receive £10 In Free Bets welcome offer:
- Sign up to Dabble through this link
- Register your account with accurate personal details
- Place your first bet of £10 or more
- Receive your £10 in free bets when your qualifying bet has setted
- Use your Free Bet on any eligible sportsbook market within 7 days
#AD 18+ 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Serhou Yadaly Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): 4 goals, 3 assists, and a remarkable 62.5% shot accuracy in Europe this season. Averaging a direct goal involvement every 155 minutes.
- Felix Kalu Nmecha (Borussia Dortmund): 11 big chance assists, 3 goals, and 86.6% pass accuracy – Dortmund’s main creative threat, setting up more key chances than any other player in this fixture.
- Julian Brandt (Borussia Dortmund): 3 goals, 5 big chance assists, and a reliable presence both in front of goal and in build-up play.
- Atalanta: While no individual stands out statistically, expect regulars like Scamacca or Raspadori to shoulder attacking responsibility, especially at home where Atalanta’s xG remains high (17.43 across 9 games).
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Borussia Dortmund have the edge in the recent head-to-head, unbeaten in their last three against Atalanta with two wins and a draw. Recent contests have been competitive, but Dortmund’s firepower has proved decisive.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 | Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta | Europe |
| 22/02/18 | Atalanta 1-1 Borussia Dortmund | Europe |
| 15/02/18 | Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Atalanta | Europe |
Conclusion: Will Dortmund’s Attack Outshine Atalanta’s Resilience?
This tie has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair, with Dortmund’s clinical finishing and Atalanta’s strong xG hinting at goals at both ends. The visitors’ head-to-head record and superior attacking statistics make Borussia Dortmund at 11/5 (31.3%) a tempting value, but the safest play remains both teams to score at 8/13 (61.9%). Whether the hosts can finally convert their chances or Dortmund’s forwards keep their hot streak alive, this is set to be a thrilling European contest.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
