With both sides separated by just six points and one place in the Serie A table, Atalanta welcome Bologna in a late-season clash that could decide who claims a top-seven finish.
Atalanta’s historical dominance in this fixture adds extra intrigue, but Bologna’s resilience this campaign suggests this could be closer than the standings imply. Kick-off is set for 5pm (UK time) Sunday at the Gewiss Stadium, and with both teams boasting robust midfields and plenty at stake, expect a fiercely contested encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Atalanta’s more reliable attack and their strong head-to-head advantage, our top betting recommendations focus on the hosts, goals at both ends, and a likely entertaining contest. We’re particularly confident in Atalanta to win, thanks to their superior attacking record and dominant home record in this fixture.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta to Win | 4/7 @ Bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Atalanta have won 12 of the last 19 meetings with Bologna and average 1.39 goals per match this season. Their home form in this fixture is especially strong, and they come into this with a +16 goal difference. The price looks solid for a side with a strong record against these visitors. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides have averaged over a goal per match, with Atalanta’s defence busier than most (111 saves, 560 tackles). Bologna are capable of nicking a goal, having scored in four of their last six meetings with Atalanta, and their matches average over 2.4 total goals this season. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Both sides have enjoyed solid campaigns, with Atalanta edging Bologna in both points and goal difference. They’re evenly matched on wins but Atalanta’s ability to draw games has kept them just clear.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 7 | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 50 | 34 | +16 | 58 |
| Bologna | 8 | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 43 | +2 | 52 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta): Known for his creativity and technical ability, De Ketelaere is integral to Atalanta’s attacking build-up, regularly contributing to their league-leading assist tally.
- Kamaldeen Sulemana (Atalanta): Offers pace and directness on the flanks, which could exploit Bologna’s defensive gaps. Expect him to register multiple touches in the box and test the keeper.
- Simone Negri (Bologna): The focal point for Bologna’s attacks. If Bologna are to get on the scoresheet, Negri’s movement and finishing will be key, especially given Atalanta’s willingness to allow shots (111 saves so far).
- Nicolò Cambiaghi (Bologna): An energetic forward, Cambiaghi is capable of drawing fouls and creating chances, making him a potential threat, especially on the counter.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
This game has been very even over the past five meetings, with two wins apiece and the fifth match ending in a draw. There have only been three or more goals in one of the last five meetings.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 07/01/26 | Bologna 0-2 Atalanta | Serie A |
| 13/04/25 | Atalanta 2-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| 28/09/24 | Bologna 1-1 Atalanta | Serie A |
| 03/03/24 | Atalanta 1-2 Bologna | Serie A |
| 23/12/23 | Bologna 1-0 Atalanta | Serie A |
Will Atalanta make their head-to-head record count?
Atalanta’s combination of home advantage, slightly superior attack, and a strong historical record over Bologna all point towards a home win, but Bologna’s ability to score and compete in midfield cannot be discounted. For those seeking value, the hosts to win at 4/7 @ Bet365 (63.6%) or both teams to score at 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) look the picks of the day.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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