Aston Villa welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to Villa Park this Sunday for a 2:00pm kick-off live on Sky Sports. Prior to Saturday’s matches, Villa sit fourth in the table, while Wolves are rock bottom. Find our match preview and best bets below.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Aston Villa’s dominant underlying numbers and Wolves’ defensive struggles, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Villa to win, given their solid home form and Wolves’ record of conceding goals at an alarming rate.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to Win & Under 4.5 goals | 8/11 @ SBK (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Aston Villa have won six of their last seven Premier League games (L1), a run that saw them move from 18th to 4th in the Premier League table. Meanwhile, Wolves are winless in their last 16 Premier League games (D3 L13), losing the last five in a row. |
| Morgan Rogers to Score | 2/1 @ SBK (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Morgan Rogers has been involved in five goals in his last seven Premier League games for Aston Villa (3 goals, 2 assists). Last time out against Leeds, he scored his first ever brace in the competition, as well as scoring from his first ever attempt from a direct free-kick. . |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
How both teams go into Aston Villa vs Wolves
After a slow start to the campaign, Aston Villa have quietly gone about their business, and after 12 matches in the Premier League, they sit fourth. Unai Emery’s men have recorded 21 points, leaving them eight behind leaders Arsenal and two behind Chelsea in second. The Villans were in European action on Thursday evening and managed a 2-1 home win over Swiss side Young Boys, thanks to a brace from Donyell Malen.
Wolves have endured a torrid campaign so far and have collected just two points, failing to win any of their 12 league outings in 2025/26. Vito Pereira was relieved of his duties at the start of the month, with Rob Edwards the man tasked with keeping the club in the English top-flight. The Old Gold are nine points from safety and must pick up in the next few weeks if they are to stand any chance of survivial.
Aston Villa team news
Andres Garcia and Tyrone Mings are the only absentees for the hosts.
Wolves team news
Rodrigo Gomes, Leon Chiwome and Daniel Bentley are all out for the visitors, while Matt Doherty will be assessed before kick-off.
Season Form & Standings
Aston Villa have emerged as early top-four contenders this season, sitting 4th with 21 points after 12 matches. In contrast, Wolves are rooted to the bottom, winless and with the league’s worst defence. Here’s how the teams stack up in the 2025/26 Premier League to date:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
| Wolves | 20 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Aston Villa and Wolves have shared a fiercely contested rivalry, with Wolves holding the edge in the past 16 meetings (8 wins to Villa’s 5). However, recent fixtures have alternated between the sides, and Villa took the spoils in the last meeting at Villa Park. Here are the latest results:
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 01/02/25 | Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 21/09/24 | Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| 30/03/24 | Aston Villa 2-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| 08/10/23 | Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 06/05/23 | Wolves 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Aston Villa’s dominance at both ends of the pitch continue against a Wolves side in crisis? With Villa’s balanced attack, sturdy defence, and Wolves’ leaking back line, all signs point to a home win. For punters, the best way into the market looks to be backing a home win with under 4.5 goals scored at a tasty looking 8/11 with SBK.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
