Osasuna travel to Estadio de Mendizorroza to face Deportivo Alaves in a fixture shaped by a stark head-to-head record and contrasting defensive profiles.
Kick-off is set for Sunday, 20:00, with both teams looking to consolidate their mid-table La Liga status in the 2025/26 season. Alaves, desperate to improve a dire home record versus their visitors, will need to contain an Osasuna side that has enjoyed the upper hand in recent meetings.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Osasuna’s dominant head-to-head record and the underlying defensive data, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a low-scoring contest given both teams’ struggles in front of goal and disciplined defending in recent outings.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams average just over a goal per game and recent head-to-heads have seen four of the last six finish with two or fewer goals. Osasuna have kept seven clean sheets this season, while Alaves have only managed three, but both sides’ low shot conversion rates make a goal-fest unlikely. |
| Draw | 11/5 @ Bet365 (31.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of the last six meetings have ended level, and neither side has shown the consistency to claim all three points week in week out. With both sides averaging similar possession and pass accuracy, a tight, hard-fought stalemate is a real possibility. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are hovering around the lower mid-table, with Osasuna 10th and Alaves 16th. Osasuna have a 6-point cushion over Alaves and boast a stronger defensive record, having conceded six fewer goals and kept more than twice as many clean sheets. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but Alaves will be encouraged by an upward trend in form.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
| Deportivo Alaves | 16 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 31 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Ante Budimir (Osasuna): 14 goals (0.50 per game), 2.8 shots per 90, and a clinical presence in the box. Fourth-highest scorer in the league.
- Lucas Boye (Alaves): 9 goals in 23 appearances, averaging 0.39 goals per game, and 1.8 shots per 90.
- Ruben Garcia (Osasuna): 5 assists, creative leader with 1.6 chances created per 90.
- Carles Alena (Alaves): 4 assists and 1.5 key passes per 90, likely to orchestrate Alaves’ best moves.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna have dominated this fixture, taking four wins and two draws from the last six encounters, while Alaves have failed to win at home against their visitors since 2016.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 | Osasuna 3-0 Deportivo Alaves | Primera Division |
| 24/05/25 | Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 08/12/24 | Osasuna 2-2 Deportivo Alaves | Primera Division |
| 04/03/24 | Osasuna 1-0 Deportivo Alaves | Primera Division |
| 01/10/23 | Deportivo Alaves 0-2 Osasuna | Primera Division |
| 10/04/22 | Osasuna 1-0 Deportivo Alaves | Primera Division |
Conclusion: Can Alaves Overcome Their Hoodoo?
With Osasuna boasting an overwhelming head-to-head edge and the league’s fourth-highest scorer in Ante Budimir, Deportivo Alaves face a daunting task to break their home duck in this fixture. The data points to a cagey match, with under 2.5 goals looking a strong angle at 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%). If Alaves’ leaky defence can’t keep Budimir quiet, expect Osasuna to leave with at least a point.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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