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Squawka / News / Alavés vs Espanyol: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Alavés vs Espanyol: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Deportivo Alavés and Espanyol face off this weekend, offering a clash between a mid-table side and a promotion hopeful. Espanyol have enjoyed clear head-to-head superiority in recent years, but Alavés come into this contest with proven defensive organisation and a strong home record against their visitors. Kick-off is set for Sunday at 8:00 PM, and with just six points separating the sides in the standings, this encounter could shape both teams’ ambitions for the rest of the campaign.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Espanyol’s attacking volume but inefficient finishing, alongside Alavés’ defensive solidity and recent home form, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing a low-scoring affair, with Under 2.5 Goals standing out as the strongest selection due to both sides’ recent trends and season-long numbers.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Under 2.5 Goals8/15 @ Bet365
(65.2%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backing because 3 of last 5 H2Hs went under. Both sides average under 1.5 goals scored per game.
Correct Score 1-15/1 @ Bet365
(16.7%)
⭐⭐Both teams average just under a goal per game conceded. 1-1 has landed twice in last 11 H2Hs.

Our approach: Start with Under 2.5 Goals as the standout.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date

Espanyol currently sit 5th in La Liga with 18 points from 10 games (W5 D3 L2), boasting the division’s third-best chance creation stats but struggling to convert opportunities. Alavés, meanwhile, are 12th with 12 points (W3 D3 L4), having conceded just 9 goals, the joint-lowest in the bottom half. Both teams are defensively disciplined, with Espanyol keeping four clean sheets and Alavés two.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Espanyol5105321411+318
Deportivo Alavés121033499012

Potential Match-Winners

  • Lucas Boyé (Alavés) – The Argentine striker leads Alavés in shot attempts and remains a focal point for their limited attack, averaging nearly two shots per game.
  • Javier Puado (Espanyol) – Espanyol’s most direct threat, typically registering the most touches in the opposition box and leading the side for shots on target.
  • Antonio Sivera (Alavés) – The goalkeeper has contributed to two clean sheets and boasts a save percentage above the league average.
  • Leandro Cabrera (Espanyol) – Aerially dominant centre-back who helps Espanyol defend set-pieces and start attacks from the back.

Head-to-Head

Espanyol have won six of the last eleven meetings with Alavés, who have enjoyed some recent home success but generally come off second best in this fixture.

Last 6 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
22/02/25Deportivo Alavés 0-1 EspanyolLa Liga
14/09/24Espanyol 3-2 Deportivo AlavésLa Liga
11/05/22Deportivo Alavés 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
22/09/21Espanyol 1-0 Deportivo AlavésLa Liga
13/06/20Espanyol 2-0 Deportivo AlavésLa Liga
25/08/19Deportivo Alavés 0-0 EspanyolLa Liga

Conclusion

Both teams arrive with something to prove – Espanyol desperately need to start converting chances if they are to maintain their promotion push, while Alavés have built their season on defensive discipline but must find a cutting edge at home. Will Alavés frustrate Espanyol again, or can the visitors finally make their attacking numbers count? Our strongest lean is for a low-scoring match, with 8/15 @ Bet365 (65.2%) on Under 2.5 Goals the pick of the prices for this tactical showdown.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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