AC Milan host Parma at San Siro in a Serie A clash between title hopefuls and a side struggle for consistency. This game kicks off on Sunday 22nd February at 5pm (UK time).
Best bets & predictions
Given AC Milan’s all-round superiority in both attack and defence, we’re especially confident backing a home win. There’s also statistical appeal in the over 2.5 goals market, with Milan’s matches frequently featuring attacking quality, while Parma’s defence has been leaky. Below are our top recommended bets for this clash.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan to win to nil | 1/1 @ Bet365 (50%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Milan have won five of the last nine meetings and boast 11 clean sheets in 25 games this season. They’ve lost just once in the league, while Parma have a negative goal difference and are one of the lowest scorers in the league. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Milan have averaged 1.64 goals per game and have created 47 big chances this season. Parma have conceded 31 times in 25 matches, suggesting potential for a high-scoring contest. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
AC Milan vs Parma
Season form & standings
2025-26 season to date: AC Milan are challenging at the top, sitting second with a dominant +22 goal difference and 60% win rate. Parma, meanwhile, are down in 12th, with a negative goal difference and just 28% win-rate. Milan’s defensive record stands out with only 19 goals conceded in 25 games, while Parma have shipped 31 in 25. The gulf is clear in the table below.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan | 2 | 25 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 41 | 19 | +22 | 54 |
| Parma | 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 29 |
Potential match-winners
AC Milan’s threat is collective, with 41 goals scored by a variety of contributors and 27 assists. Rafael Leao remains a focal point in attack, while Christian Pulisic adds creativity and drive from midfield. In defence, Fikayo Tomori’s leadership and Mike Maignan’s presence in goal (part of 11 clean sheets) are crucial. Parma will look to new arrival Gabriel Strefezza for attacking spark, but their top creative and scoring numbers lag behind Milan’s main men. Expect Milan’s key players to have more opportunities, given their high pass accuracy (87.5%) and ball retention.
Head-to-head
AC Milan have won three of their past six games against Parma, with two draws and one defeat. The last meeting ended in a draw, but Parma haven’t beat AC Milan at the San Siro since 2014.
Last six meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 08/11/25 | Parma 2-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| 26/01/25 | AC Milan 3-2 Parma | Serie A |
| 24/08/24 | Parma 2-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| 10/04/21 | Parma 1-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| 13/12/20 | AC Milan 2-2 Parma | Serie A |
| 15/07/20 | AC Milan 3-1 Parma | Serie A |
Final thoughts
With AC Milan’s superior form, attacking firepower, and a proven defensive unit, the odds are stacked in their favour. Parma’s resilience shouldn’t be dismissed, but the gulf in quality makes the home win the standout pick here. If you’re looking for value, Milan to win to nil at 1/1 (50%) with Bet365 is the safe play for your weekend accumulator.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
