- Full Time
- 90 + 2'C. Lippmann on for M. Pieringer
- P. Mwene90 + 1'
- K. Potulski on for D. Kohr80'
- 75'T. Baack on for L. Ulrich
- 75'J. Sticker on for M. Hansen
- S. Widmer on for A. Caci73'
- 72'M. Hansen
- O. Ruoppi on for S. Becker68'
- R. Königsdörffer on for Lee Jae-Sung68'
- 67'S. Tigges on for S. Marino
- Half Time
- 38'S. Castañeda
- Kick Off
-
1
Danny da Costa5 - 2Lee Jae-Sung4
- 3Laurin Curda3
- 1Anthony Caci3
- 2Fabio Gruber3
- 3Tjark Scheller3
- 1Nadiem Amiri6
- 2Anthony Caci2
- 3Phillip Tietz2
- 1Kaishu Sano52
- 2Mattes Hansen51
- 3Tjark Scheller51
- 1Nadiem Amiri3
- 2Gabriel Vidovic2
- 3Anthony Caci1
- 1Kaishu Sano4
- 2Lee Jae-Sung4
- 3Laurin Curda3
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn is a Bundesliga opener at the Mewa Arena on Saturday, with the hosts fancied against the newly-promoted visitors.
Mainz, 10th last season, host a Paderborn side that has just won promotion. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.
Premium Tips
Andy favours Mainz, whose top-flight experience should tell against the newcomers.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 to win and over 2.5 goals | 21/10 | Mainz start as firm favourites at home, drawing on top-flight experience that a newly promoted Paderborn side simply does not have yet. The two previous meetings between these clubs both produced Mainz wins with three or more total goals, a 2-0 and a 2-1, giving some historical support to an open game. Paderborn are expected to have a go rather than sit back defensively, which increases the chances of goals at both ends, and with the draft own score prediction sitting at 2-1 to the hosts, a lively, multi goal contest that Mainz control fits the expected shape of an opening day fixture against enthusiastic but inexperienced newcomers. |
| Sheraldo Becker over 0.5 shots on target and Kaishu Sano to score or assist | 11/4 | Becker looks well placed to test the Paderborn goalkeeper given Mainzs expected territorial dominance at home, with even a single shot on target a modest requirement against a side new to this level. Sano operates in a creative or attacking role for Mainz, and with the hosts expected to create the bulk of the games chances, a goal or a assist is a realistic outcome across 90 minutes of sustained pressure. Combining a shot volume prop with a broader scoring or assisting market spreads the value across two attacking contributors while staying aligned with Mainzs expected home dominance. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Mainz 05 go into the game
Mainz finished a solid 10th last season and start as firm favourites at home. The Mewa Arena should provide a lively backdrop for the opener.
Mainz are well-organised and know this level well. Making home advantage count against the newcomers is the expectation.
How Paderborn go into the game
Paderborn begin their Bundesliga campaign after promotion and will relish the occasion. Away days at established sides will be tough, though.
The newcomers are well-drilled and will have a go, but the gulf in top-flight experience is clear. Competing with Mainz would be a decent start.
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/02/20 | Mainz | 2-0 | Paderborn |
| 05/10/19 | Paderborn | 1-2 | Mainz |
Mainz won both of the only two meetings on record, back in 2019/20.
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 to win | 4/6 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Top-flight quality over the newcomers. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 | ⭐⭐⭐ | An open game is expected. |
| Mainz 05 or draw (Double Chance) | 3/10 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Cover on the hosts. |
| Both teams to score | 4/6 | ⭐⭐ | Paderborn will have a go. |
| Mainz 05 to win 2-1 | 7/1 | ⭐⭐ | Headline scoreline. |
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn score prediction
Paderborn will enjoy their return to the top flight, but Mainz have the quality and experience to win at home. Expect an open game the hosts edge. Score prediction: Mainz 05 2-1 Paderborn.
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