Football News

The numbers behind Harry Maguire’s Man United win rate claim

By Mohamed Moallim

Published: 16:11, 12 October 2023

Harry Maguire pointed towards his “ridiculously high” win percentage when asked about staying at Manchester United in the long term.

The 30-year-old centre-back was heavily linked with a move away from Old Trafford in the summer, with newly-crowned Conference League holders West Ham linked. The Hammers remain the bookmaker’s favourites to sign him, with Sky Bet offering 6/1 odds for Maguire to join before next year’s winter transfer window shuts.

Since remaining part of Erik ten Hag’s squad, playing time has been limited. However, the former Red Devils skipper remains a core member of Gareth Southgate’s team, leading to some questioning his involvement. Maguire answered in defiant fashion in the build-up to England’s friendly with Australia.

“It’s not my decision to whether I start the next game or not. I’m unsure on that. I’m sure in a couple of weeks I’ll go back and find out,” he told reporters.

“If you look back on my last 15-20 starts for club and country, I would be happy to sit here and say I’m really happy with my performances.

“My record under this manager speaks for itself. I haven’t started as many games as I like, but my win percentage when I’ve played is ridiculously high.

“Of course there are times when I could do more and times when I could improve and help the team.

“But I’m just wanting to help the team, I’m wanting to help the team get out of this position we’re in at the moment. Hopefully we can do that in the coming weeks.”

So, does Maguire have a point? To date, he’s played 35 times under Ten Hag in all competitions, starting 18 times and completing the full 90 minutes each occasion. He’s been on the victorious side 14 times while suffering four losses, giving him a 77.8 win percentage.

Man Utd’s defensive record in those games reads 17 goals conceded (0.94 per game) or 1 goal every 95.3 minutes, but they have kept eight clean sheets.

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Obviously, you have to factor in the calibre of opposition. The sides he’s been able to help shut out while in Man Utd red were Real Betis, West Ham, Bournemouth, Leeds, Everton, Nottingham Forest, Charlton and Crystal Palace. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad, Sevilla, Brighton, Brentford (twice), Reading, West Ham, Fulham and Aston Villa were able to breach United’s defence with him in the eleven.

Maguire’s record is also impressive when he puts on an England jersey. His last 20 starts for the Three Lions read 11 wins, six draws and three losses (55 win percentage). If we combine his last 20 starts for club and country it’s 17 wins, one draw and two losses (85 win percentage). Suffice it to say, the numbers back Maguire’s statement.

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