Fiorentina vs Frosinone is a Serie A clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Saturday, with the hosts fancied to respond to a heavy opening defeat.
Fiorentina were thrashed at Roma while Frosinone lost at home to Juventus, and the Viola are strong favourites. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.
Premium Tips
Andy is with Fiorentina, who should have too much for the newcomers on home soil.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina to win and Albert Gudmundsson to score anytime | 27/10 | Fiorentina arrive needing an immediate response after a chastening 4-0 defeat at Roma, and home advantage at the Franchi is exactly where the draft expects that reaction to come. Frosinone, despite a battling 1-0 defeat to Juventus, are tipped to be “blunt away” and have already been backed as a likely clean sheet for the hosts, meaning Fiorentina’s forward line should get a steady stream of chances. Gudmundsson, as the Viola’s most advanced creative threat, looks well placed to open the scoring given the scale of the expected home dominance and the pressure on Fiorentina to bounce back in front of their own fans. |
| Mateo Pellegrino over 1.5 shots on target and Ben Kone over 2.5 fouls | 12/5 | Frosinone are expected to sit in and try to frustrate Fiorentina, which should force Pellegrino to work off scraps and counter-attacking opportunities, but newly promoted sides often still create enough half-chances over 90 minutes to test the keeper more than once. Kone’s role in a compact, well-organised Frosinone shape means he’ll likely be dragged out of position repeatedly trying to stop Fiorentina’s overloads, and committing fouls to break up transitions is a natural byproduct of that containment approach. Together, a battling underdog’s leading forward and combative midfielder offer a reasonable route to value against the run of a expected home win. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Fiorentina go into the game
Fiorentina suffered a chastening 4-0 defeat at Roma in MD1, but home form is where they must build. A strong response is expected at the Franchi.
The Viola have the quality to climb the table and will see this as a must-win. Bouncing back against the newcomers is the priority.
How Frosinone go into the game
Frosinone lost 1-0 at home to Juventus on their return to Serie A, a battling display against strong opponents. Away days will be tough, though.
The newcomers are well-organised and will look to frustrate Fiorentina. A more clinical edge is needed to take anything from Florence.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/24 | Fiorentina | 5-1 | Frosinone |
| 28/09/23 | Frosinone | 1-1 | Fiorentina |
| 07/04/19 | Fiorentina | 0-1 | Frosinone |
| 09/11/18 | Frosinone | 1-1 | Fiorentina |
Four meetings split evenly: one win each and two draws.
Fiorentina vs Frosinone predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina to win | 8/13 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Quality edge, home response expected. |
| Under 2.5 goals | evens | ⭐⭐ | Frosinone will sit in. |
| Fiorentina -1 handicap | 6/5 | ⭐⭐ | Backed to win by two or more. |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 4/5 | ⭐⭐ | Frosinone can be blunt away. |
| Fiorentina to win 2-0 | 11/2 | ⭐⭐ | Headline scoreline. |
Fiorentina vs Frosinone score prediction
Frosinone will be organised, but Fiorentina’s greater quality should tell at home after a chastening opener. Expect a controlled home win. Score prediction: Fiorentina 2-0 Frosinone.
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