Football News

Euro 2024 outright odds: Tips, predictions and analysis as England meet Spain in final

By Andrew Francis

Euro 2024 outright odds: Tips, predictions and analysis as England face Spain in final

Published: 8:24, 14 July 2024

The Euro 2024 final is upon us we’re constantly scouring the outright markets to find the best value. Carry on reading to find our best tips for this Sunday’s showcase.

Euro 2024: Outright Winner


*Odds correct as of 13:00 on 13th July. 18+ only. GambleAware.

England went into Euro 2024 as one of the heavy favourites and we backed this summer to finally be the one that sees The Three Lions go all the way.

With a wealth of attacking talent, and a solid defensive base, England had all the tools on paper to be crowned European Champions in Germany and, with BetMGM, you can get them at odds of 6/5 by clicking the link below.

“I’ve got them as one of three teams that could potentially win the tournament,” Dean Smith said on Squawka’s Euro 2024 prediction podcast.

“I think when we get to those final stages, there will be really tight games, when you come up against the likes of France and Portugal. It might even come down to penalties.

“I just think there’s so much quality in that squad. There are so many players who you expect to step up in those big games. Not just Bellingham, not just Kane, not just Saka, you’ve also got your Fodens and then you’ve got Mainoo who has come in and done big things in big games for Man Utd this season. It’s tough to say we’re going to go ahead and beat teams like France and Portugal but I think we can compete more than we have done in the past.”

Of course, football isn’t played on paper and the run to the final hasn’t been straightforward. But England are there. The Three Lions have won just two of their six games in 90 minutes, their first against Serbia and the semi-final victory over Netherlands. The other four games have finished level after 90 minutes, with one won in extra-time and another on penalties.

Click here to read our England Betting Profile.

NI excluded. New cust only. 7 days to opt in by placing a £10 qualifying bet at 1/1 (2.0) odds or greater to receive 6x Free Bets: 3 x £10 horse racing, 1 x £10 Bet Builder, 1 x £10 Acca and 1 x £10 football. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. T&Cs apply.18+

18+ New customers only. Bet £10+ on pre-match accas with 4+ legs, min odds 3/1 (4.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get 4x £5 Free Bets and 50 Free Spins, valid for 7 days on selected bets and games only. Restrictions and T&Cs apply.

Full T&Cs apply. New UK customers only. The qualifying bet should be either a Single or Acca (2+ selections) bet, start at £10, have 1.9 or greater odds and must be settled within 7 days of sign-up. 5 Free bets which must be placed with a min odds of 2 include: 1 x £10 Free bet on any Pre-match Football game (single); 1 x £10 Free Bet for Horse Racing (single); 1 x £10 Free Bet for Acca (min 2 selections) Bet on any sport; 1 x £10 Free Bet for Acca (min 3 selections) Bet on any sport; 1 x £10 Free Bet for Acca (min 4 selections) Bet on any sport. Max payout – £500. 7 day expiry. To unlock the offer, complete the first deposit via the banking app (Open banking). 18+.

Euro 2024: Finalists ranked

Below, we have ranked the Euro 2024 finalists based on results, their performance (xG for and against), and the strength of the opposition.

2. England

England came into Euro 2024 as favourites, though that was as much down to optimism from English fans as anything else. The Three Lions remained favourites for most of the tournament, again due to optimism but also their potential run to the final on paper. Now they’re in the final, they are no longer favourites, but quiet optimism is growing after England beat the Netherlands 2-1 in the semi-final.

England have averaged just 0.94 xG per game at Euro 2024, the lowest of any team to have made it to the quarter-finals. At the same time, England have averaged 0.89 xG conceded per game, in the top five at Euro 2024. If they keep things tight, there is a feeling that England have a chance.

Introducing Squawka Selector! Guaranteed cash-prize winners with our brand new free-to-play game

  • Click here to register for Squawka Selector
  • Sign up and press ‘Join’ on the next available pot
  • Correctly predict outcomes like Full Time Result and Anytime Goalscorer to score points
  • Track your progress in real-time with our live leaderboard
  • Plus opt-in for marketing & play Squawka Selector for a chance to win tickets to the Community Shield!

Squawka Selector final ad


1. Spain

People weren’t sure what to think of Spain going into Euro 2024, but La Roja have been the best side at the tournament, a status confirmed by beating hosts Germany in the quarter-finals. They’re the one team with a perfect record, winning all three of their group games without conceding a goal, before beating Georgia 4-1 in the last 16, Germany 2-1 in the quarter-final and France 2-1 in the semi-final.

They were seriously impressive against Croatia and Italy, though they relied on an own goal to win the latter, showing signs of wastefulness in front of goal. Some were wondering if they’d got stuck into a bit of flat-track bullying by beating Albania and Georgia in their final group match and last 16 tie, respectively. However, wins against Germany and then France have affirmed what most were thinking about Luis de la Fuente’s side. It’s theirs to lose.