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Squawka / News / Deportivo vs Elche predictions and betting tips: Tight opener on Depor’s big night

Deportivo vs Elche predictions and betting tips: Tight opener on Depor’s big night

17 Aug · 20:00 Estadio Abanca-Riazor · Primera División
P. Aubameyang   21'
Marc Aguado   76'
  1. Full Time
  2. 87'
    Umaru
  3. Kevin Sánchez on for P. Aubameyang
    85'
  4. 81'
    Javier Morcillo on for A. Houary
  5. 81'
    Álvaro Padilla on for Germán Valera
  6. 76'
    Marc Aguado
  7. David Mella on for Mario Soriano
    71'
  8. Luismi Cruz on for Adrià Alti
    71'
  9. 69'
    Umaru on for Fer Niño
  10. 67'
    Gonzalo Villar
  11. 60'
    Tete Morente on for F. Redondo
  12. 60'
    L. Cepeda on for Martim Neto
  13. Z. Eddahchouri on for B. Nsongo
    60'
  14. Diego Villares on for J. Jensen
    60'
  15. Half Time
  16. L. Amatucci
    45 + 1'
  17. Ximo Navarro
    26'
  18. P. Aubameyang
    21'
  19. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
38.6% Possession 61.4%
1 Goals 1
8 Shots 11
3 Shots On Target 6
2 Corners Won 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0.43 xG 1.40
Shooting
1 Goals 1
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots On Target 6
Defending
1 Goals Conceded 1
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
401 Total Passes 641
326 Accurate Passes 567
Possession
38.6% Possession 61.4%
2 Corners 6
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
17 Fouls 12
Goals
  • 1
    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
    1
  • 2
    Elche
    Marc Aguado
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Elche
    Ali Houary
    3
  • 2
    Elche
    David Affengruber
    2
  • 3
    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
    2
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Mario Soriano
    2
  • 2
    Jonathan Asp Jensen
    2
  • 3
    Bil Nsongo
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Elche
    Gonzalo Villar
    1
  • 2
    Lorenzo Amatucci
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Elche
    Ali Houary
    3
  • 2
    Elche
    Martim Neto
    2
  • 3
    Mario Soriano
    1
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Elche
    David Affengruber
    83
  • 2
    Elche
    Víctor Chust
    73
  • 3
    Elche
    Federico Redondo
    60
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Elche
    Ali Houary
    3
  • 2
    Elche
    Germán Valera
    1
  • 3
    Elche
    Álvaro Padilla
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Elche
    Tete Morente
    1
  • 2
    Ximo Navarro
    1
  • 3
    Elche
    Víctor Chust
    1
13
Román
12
Quagliata
22
Ede
04
Noubi
23
Navarro
16
Amatucci
21
Soriano
18
Asp Jensen
32
Nsongo
02
Alti
07
Aubameyang
14
Niño
29
Houary
08
Aguado
16
Neto
12
Villar
11
Valera
23
Chust
05
Redondo
22
Affengruber
02
Sangaré
01
Dituro
Substitutes
03 Arnau Comas 
33 Kevin Sánchez 
11 David Mella 
34 Teun Gijselhart 
01 Germán Parreño 
19 Luismi Cruz 
24 Angeliño 
25 Álvaro Fernández 
14 Riki Rodríguez 
09 Zakaria Eddahchouri 
08 Diego Villares 
15 Miguel Loureiro 
Substitutes
 Tete Morente 20
 Alejandro Iturbe 43
 Pedro Bigas 06
 Umaru 36
 Álvaro Padilla 30
 Nordin Al Lal 33
 Javier Morcillo 47
 Matia Barzic 26
 Facundo Buonanotte 10
 Ezequiel Ponce 09
 Josan 17
 Lucas Cepeda 21

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Deportivo vs Elche closes the opening weekend under the Monday-night lights at Riazor, kicking off at 8.00pm (UK time), as the promoted hosts return to La Liga against an established top-flight side.

Deportivo have home advantage and a passionate crowd behind them, but Elche carry the experience of survival last season. Luke Hamilton has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Luke expects a tight, competitive contest, with little to separate a fired-up promoted side and a modest but experienced visitor.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Both Teams to Score1/1Elche’s persistent defensive fragility may collide with Deportivo’s high-energy attacking rhythm at the Riazor. Elche shipped 57 goals last season, frequently showing an inability to protect their box on the road or withstand sustained pressure in wide areas. Backed by a roaring home crowd, Deportivo have the momentum and direct attacking profile to test that suspect backline from the opening whistle. The scoreline that naturally fits here is a lively 1-1 or a 2-1 result either way. The catch is both sides occasionally getting bogged down in midfield transitions and lacking elite composure in front of goal, which can turn promising openings into wasted chances. At even money, though, backing two teams with clear attacking upside and vulnerable defensive tendencies to trade blows is a very solid angle.
Yeremay Hernandez to score anytime21/10Yeremay operates as Deportivo’s primary creative and goalscoring outlet, constantly driving into central areas from the left and carrying penalty duties. Facing an Elche side that conceded 57 goals last season and routinely leaves space behind their full-backs, his 1v1 ability and shooting volume make him the most probable home player to unlock a fragile backline. Deportivo occasionally spread their finishing opportunities across multiple runners in the box rather than funnelling everything through a single target. At 21/10 though, backing the team’s talismanic attacker to find the net against a leaky defence is a standout price for an individual threat.

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How Deportivo go into the game

Deportivo are back in La Liga after climbing out of the Segunda, and few grounds will generate an atmosphere like Riazor for the club’s top-flight return. That energy could be worth a goal of a start on Monday night.

The step up in class is significant, but Deportivo will take heart from facing an Elche side who only narrowly avoided the drop last season. Harnessing the crowd and starting on the front foot will be the plan.

How Elche go into the game

Elche finished 15th in La Liga last season, doing just enough to stay up on 43 points despite a defence that conceded 57 goals. There is top-flight know-how in the squad, but consistency was lacking throughout the campaign.

Away from home against a promoted side with the crowd on its side is a tricky opener, and Elche will need to be resolute early on. Keeping things tight and taking their chances is the sensible approach.

Deportivo vs Elche: 2025-26 by the numbers

Deportivo vs Elche head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
—No competitive meetings in recent seasons——

These sides have not met in the league in recent seasons, with Deportivo’s spell outside the top flight keeping them apart, so there is no meaningful head-to-head record to call upon ahead of Monday’s opener.

Deportivo vs Elche predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both teams to score1/1⭐⭐⭐Both sides should carry a threat in an open game.
Deportivo to win or draw (Double Chance)1/3⭐⭐⭐Home advantage on a huge night for the hosts.
Over 1.5 goals4/9⭐⭐A cagey but not goalless contest is likely.
Draw21/10⭐⭐Little between the sides on paper.
Deportivo 1-1 Elche11/2⭐⭐Our headline scoreline for an even opener.

Deportivo vs Elche score prediction

Riazor will be rocking for Deportivo’s return, and the hosts have the crowd to lift them, but Elche’s top-flight experience should help them weather the early storm. We expect a close, competitive contest that ends honours even. Score prediction: Deportivo 1-1 Elche.

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