- Full Time
- P. Struijk on for O. Boscagli90 + 3'
- P. David88'
- 85'H. Wilson
- Costinha on for F. Kadıoğlu78'
- P. David on for M. De Cuyper77'
- 73'L. Nmecha on for D. Calvert-Lewin
- 73'H. Wilson on for A. Tanaka
- L. Vušković71'
- 64'D. Calvert-Lewin
- 62'B. Aaronson on for N. Okafor
- 61'J. Bijol on for J. Bogle
- M. De Cuyper49'
- Half Time
- P. Groß38'
- 15'J. Bogle
- 6'J. Bogle
- Kick Off
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1
Luka Vuskovic1 - 2
Jayden Bogle1
- 1Pascal Groß5
- 2Diego Gómez4
- 3Charalampos Kostoulas3
- 1Ethan Ampadu3
- 2James Justin2
- 3Diego Gómez2
- 1Ao Tanaka1
- 2Maxim De Cuyper1
- 1Olivier Boscagli5
- 2Malick Yalcouyé2
- 3Nico Elvedi2
- 1Lewis Dunk71
- 2Luka Vuskovic56
- 3Yasin Ayari53
- 1Yasin Ayari3
- 2Noah Okafor3
- 3Charalampos Kostoulas3
- 1Tarik Muharemovic2
- 2Pascal Groß2
- 3James Justin2
Brighton vs Leeds is a Premier League Gameweek 3 clash at the Amex Stadium on Saturday, with the hosts fancied against Leeds.
Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Premier League clash below.
Premium Tips
Andy is with Brighton, whose home quality should tell.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win and both teams to score | 11/4 | Brighton have flown out of the blocks, scoring seven goals in their opening two games, and they have a strong recent home record against Leeds, winning the last Amex meeting 3-0. Leeds have been more measured, with two goals scored and one conceded in their two outings. The win case rests on Brighton’s home firepower against that gap in attacking output. On the both-teams angle, Brighton have already shipped four goals in two games, so their defence has been anything but watertight, giving Leeds a route to the scoresheet. |
| Georginio Rutter to score anytime and Mats Wieffer to be booked | 12/1 | Rutter is central to Brighton’s attack and heavily involved in front of goal: across the sample he has racked up 44 shots worth 4.33 expected goals, with 106 touches in the opposition box, so the openings keep coming, here against a Leeds side that will spend long spells defending at the Amex. Wieffer is the disciplinary banker of the pair: a combative defensive midfielder with eight yellow cards in 28 games and 31 fouls committed, roughly a booking every three-and-a-half appearances, exactly the profile referees punish. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Brighton go into the game
Brighton were edged 4-3 at Chelsea last time out in a thriller, showing plenty going forward. The Amex is a tough venue and they will fancy a home win.
The Seagulls are dangerous and well-coached, if a little open. Three points against Leeds is the aim.
How Leeds go into the game
Leeds drew 1-1 with Brentford last time out, a decent point. They travel to the south coast as underdogs.
Newly promoted, Leeds are spirited and organised, but Brighton away is a demanding assignment. Staying compact is key.
Brighton vs Leeds head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | Leeds | 1-0 | Brighton |
| 01/11/25 | Brighton | 3-0 | Leeds |
| 11/03/23 | Leeds | 2-2 | Brighton |
| 27/08/22 | Brighton | 1-0 | Leeds |
| 15/05/22 | Leeds | 1-1 | Brighton |
Brighton have won two and drawn two of the last five meetings with Leeds, losing once.
Brighton vs Leeds stats to look out for
Brighton have seven goals from 4.57 xG. That is an overperformance of nearly two and a half goals, and it is not a rate that holds.
| 2026/27, opening two league games | Brighton | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 4.57 | 1.63 |
| Shots | 36 | 23 |
| Shot accuracy | 25.9% | 33.3% |
| Chances created | 23 | 12 |
| Touches in the opposition box | 65 | 34 |
| Big chances missed | 7 | 0 |
The finishing has been exceptional rather than the chance creation. A shot accuracy of 25.93% is among the lowest in the league, and they have still missed seven big chances.
Leeds arrive with two goals from 1.63 xG and have not missed a big chance all season. They are far more modest, but far more in line with themselves.
Brighton vs Leeds predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win | 10/11 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Home quality edge. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10/11 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Brighton games bring goals. |
| Brighton or draw (Double Chance) | 2/9 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Cover on the hosts. |
| Both teams to score | 4/6 | ⭐⭐ | Both carry a threat. |
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win 2-1 | 17/2 | ⭐⭐ | Headline scoreline. |
Brighton vs Leeds score prediction
Leeds will be organised, but Brighton’s home quality should tell in an open game. Expect the Seagulls to edge it. Score prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Leeds United.
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