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Squawka / News / Brighton vs Aston Villa predictions and betting tips: Seagulls fancied at the Amex

Brighton vs Aston Villa predictions and betting tips: Seagulls fancied at the Amex

23 Aug · 14:00 The American Express Community Stadium · Premier League
V. Lindelöf (OG)   8' M. De Cuyper   18' J. Hinshelwood   30', 31'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 5'
    M. Cash
  3. 86'
    A. Garnacho on for E. Buendía
  4. M. Yalcouyé on for D. Gómez
    86'
  5. 82'
    Alysson on for J. McGinn
  6. 82'
    M. Ruggeri on for I. Maatsen
  7. I. Osman on for M. De Cuyper
    78'
  8. Z. Yohanna on for M. Wieffer
    78'
  9. 74'
    T. Mings on for Pau Torres
  10. 74'
    L. Bogarde on for R. Barkley
  11. Costinha on for Y. Ayari
    64'
  12. C. Kostoulas on for J. Hinshelwood
    64'
  13. Half Time
  14. 40'
    João Gomes Card upgraded by VAR
  15. 33'
    J. McGinn
  16. J. Hinshelwood
    31'
  17. J. Hinshelwood
    30'
  18. M. De Cuyper
    18'
  19. Y. Ayari
    11'
  20. P. Groß
    10'
  21. 9'
    João Gomes
  22. V. Lindelöf (OG)
    8'
  23. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
73.1% Possession 26.9%
4 Goals 0
21 Shots 6
6 Shots On Target 0
5 Corners Won 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2.82 xG 0.31
Shooting
4 Goals 0
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots On Target 0
Defending
0 Goals Conceded 4
1 Clean sheets 0
Passing
647 Total Passes 242
601 Accurate Passes 185
Possession
73.1% Possession 26.9%
5 Corners 2
Discipline
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
12 Fouls 11
Goals
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Jack Hinshelwood
    2
  • 2
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Maxim De Cuyper
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Maxim De Cuyper
    4
  • 2
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Diego Gómez
    3
  • 3
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Jack Hinshelwood
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Aston Villa
    João Gomes
    3
  • 2
    Aston Villa
    Matty Cash
    2
  • 3
    Aston Villa
    George Hemmings
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Diego Gómez
    1
  • 2
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Georginio Rutter
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Pascal Groß
    4
  • 2
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Maxim De Cuyper
    3
  • 3
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Mats Wieffer
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Lewis Dunk
    109
  • 2
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Luka Vuskovic
    98
  • 3
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Pascal Groß
    72
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Aston Villa
    John McGinn
    2
  • 2
    Aston Villa
    Ross Barkley
    2
  • 3
    Aston Villa
    João Gomes
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Mats Wieffer
    4
  • 2
    Aston Villa
    Ian Maatsen
    2
  • 3
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Olivier Boscagli
    2
01
Verbruggen
21
Boscagli
05
Dunk
44
Vuskovic
27
Wieffer
26
Ayari
13
Groß
29
De Cuyper
08
Hinshelwood
25
Gómez
10
Rutter
10
Buendía
53
Hemmings
06
Barkley
07
McGinn
35
Gomes
08
Kamara
22
Maatsen
14
Torres
03
Lindelöf
02
Cash
40
Bizot
Substitutes
35 Malick Yalcouyé 
23 Jason Steele 
15 Ibrahim Osman 
36 Zadok Yohanna 
12 Promise David 
04 Pascal Struijk 
30 Michael Svoboda 
20 Costinha 
19 Charalampos Kostoulas 
Substitutes
 Zion Suzuki 01
 Tyrone Mings 05
 Triston Rowe 45
 Matteo Ruggeri 13
 Bradley Burrowes 49
 Alysson 47
 Luka Lynch 74
 Lamare Bogarde 26
 Alejandro Garnacho 17

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Brighton vs Aston Villa is a strong-looking Sunday fixture at the Amex, with the hosts narrow favourites against a Villa side that has enjoyed recent meetings.

Brighton have home advantage, but Villa have won three of the last five between the sides. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 2pm BST on Sunday, August 23rd.

Premium Tips

Andy leans towards the hosts and goals, with Brighton’s home form set against a Villa side that always makes them work.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Brighton to win, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals11/4Brighton’s home form at the Amex has been one of the division’s most reliable assets, and with Kaoru Mitoma’s guile and Georginio Rutter’s attacking threat, the hosts have more than enough quality to see off a Villa side even at their sharpest. Ollie Watkins remains a constant goal threat for the visitors, though, and Unai Emery’s side rarely go quietly, having won three of the last five meetings between these clubs. That combination of home comfort and two sides capable of scoring freely against each other points to goals at both ends, with Brighton’s edge enough to see them over the line at 11/4.
Georginio Rutter to score anytime, Boubacar Kamara to be booked and John McGinn over 1.5 shots14/1Georginio Rutter arrived at Brighton for a club-record fee and has quickly become one of their most dangerous forward options, giving him a strong chance of adding to his tally against a Villa defence that will have its hands full at the Amex. Boubacar Kamara sits at the base of Villa’s midfield and regularly picks up bookings breaking up opposition play, a role he’ll need to lean on heavily here. John McGinn remains Villa’s captain and a persistent goal threat from midfield, rarely afraid to shoot from range. Combining all three markets makes this a well-stacked line at 14/1.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Brighton & Hove Albion go into the game

Brighton finished eighth last season on 53 points, once again proving one of the division’s most watchable and well-coached sides. The Amex is a tough venue and they will want a strong start.

Kaoru Mitoma provides the spark in attack, with plenty of creativity around him. Brighton will back their quality at home, even against a Villa side that has had their number lately.

How Aston Villa go into the game

Aston Villa finished fourth last season on 65 points, cementing their status among the division’s leading sides under Unai Emery. They travel to the Amex with genuine ambitions again.

Ollie Watkins leads the line and remains a consistent source of goals. Villa have won three of the last five meetings with Brighton, so they will fancy their chances on the road.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: 2025-26 by the numbers

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
11/02/26Aston Villa1-0Brighton & Hove Albion
03/12/25Brighton & Hove Albion3-4Aston Villa
02/04/25Brighton & Hove Albion0-3Aston Villa
30/12/24Aston Villa2-2Brighton & Hove Albion
05/05/24Brighton & Hove Albion1-0Aston Villa

Villa have won three of the last five meetings, including big away wins, with Brighton’s last victory in the fixture coming in May 2024.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Brighton to win6/5⭐⭐⭐Home advantage and quality at the Amex.
Both teams to score1/2⭐⭐⭐⭐Open, high-scoring recent meetings.
Kaoru Mitoma anytime scorer2/1⭐⭐Brighton’s main attacking spark.
Over 2.5 goals8/13⭐⭐⭐Goals have flowed in this fixture.
Brighton to win 2-19/1⭐⭐Our headline scoreline for a home win.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa score prediction

Villa have had the better of recent meetings and will be dangerous, but Brighton’s quality at the Amex makes them deserved favourites. We expect an open, entertaining game with goals at both ends, edged by the hosts. Score prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa.

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