Football Features

Ranked: Arsenal, Liverpool and Man City’s next five games in Premier League title race from easiest to most difficult

By Harry Edwards

Published: 13:25, 11 March 2024

There are 10 games left of the 2023/24 Premier League season and we have a genuine three-horse race for the title.

Over the past few months, all eyes have been on Manchester City and Liverpool with a repeat of the 2021/22 Premier League title race on the cards. As we all know, Man City won that race by a point, another notch for Pep Guardiola against Jurgen Klopp.

Last season, Arsenal were Man City’s closest challengers, leading the table for a long period before eventually being overtaken as Guardiola’s side won a third Premier League title in a row. But the Gunners are back and with 10 games left to play, they are the team top of the table.

It’s extremely close, with just one point covering the top three. Arsenal are top, ahead of Liverpool on goal difference, with the pair one point clear of Man City. The defending champions have to play the chasing game if they are to win an unprecedented fourth consecutive English top-flight title — which has never been done before in men’s football.

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All three are on good runs, so it will come down to who can keep that going. Of course, not every team has the same fixture list between now and the end of the season. The question is, who has the more straightforward run?

We’ve taken a look at each team’s next five Premier League games (among those that are confirmed at the time of writing) and ranked them by who has the easiest, and the most-difficult, set of fixtures. We’ve even thrown in a table for how we think the table will look in five games’ time.

Liverpool

  • vs Brighton (H) – 31 March
  • vs Sheffield United (H) – 4 April
  • vs Man Utd (A) – 7 April
  • vs Crystal Palace (H) – 14 April
  • vs Fulham (A) – 20 April

This is a fixture list that Liverpool fans will have wanted. Three of their next five games are at home, and Liverpool have a good record at Anfield, winning 19 of their 21 home games across all competitions this season — drawing the other two. They haven’t lost at Anfield since a 5-2 defeat to Real Madrid in the last 16 of the Champions League last season. In the league, their lost home defeat came against Leeds in October 2022, a run of 26 games (20 wins).

Brighton will be their toughest home fixture, with the Seagulls unbeaten in their past three visits to Anfield, but they have lost five of their last six away games across all competitions this season. Sheffield United haven’t beat Liverpool in the league since 1994, though they have only faced off seven times since. But that run of seven games has brought six consecutive wins for Liverpool. The Blades have also lost 10 of their 14 away league games this season. And, finally, Crystal Palace. The Eagles have lost 11 of their past 13 Premier League games against Liverpool, managing draws home and away last season. Performances have improved under Oliver Glasner, but Palace are still winless in their past nine away games across all competitions.

On the road, eyes will light up at the trip to Old Trafford to face Manchester United, and fans will know more about this matchup after the FA Cup quarter-final meeting. Man Utd have lost three of their four games against the top three this season, though that one draw did come against Liverpool. The Reds did lose last time out in the league at Old Trafford, but won the two before that by an aggregate scoreline of 9-2. And this Liverpool side is a different beast. And, finally, Fulham. Liverpool have already faced Fulham three times this season, winning two and drawing one, knocking them out of the EFL Cup semi-finals. Liverpool are also unbeaten in their past six trips to Craven Cottage, albeit with three consecutive draws.

Find the latest Premier League winner odds for the 2023/2024 season here:

Club Sky Bet
Man City 6/5
Liverpool 2/1
Arsenal 5/2
Tottenham 200/1
Aston Villa 500/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (13:15, 11/03/2024). BeGambleAware.

Arsenal

  • vs Man City (A) – 31 March
  • vs Luton (H) – 3 April
  • vs Brighton (A) – 6 April
  • vs Aston Villa (H) – 13 April
  • vs Wolves (A) – 20 April

After the international break, we have the final match between two of this season’s Premier League title rivals, and Liverpool will be watching closely. Obviously Man City is the toughest of Arsenal’s remaining fixtures, but the Gunners did win the reverse fixture at the Emirates. In fact, they’ve won the last two meetings, also beating Man City on penalties in the Community Shield. However, before that, Arsenal had lost 14 of their 15 games against Man City. The Gunners also haven’t won at the Etihad since January 2015, losing each of their last eight visits (after one draw).

But past that, Arsenal look okay. Luton have asked some questions this season but haven’t had enough to get over the line against the bigger clubs. Arsenal have only lost twice at home this season, winning 14 of their other 16 matches at the Emirates across all competitions. Luton, meanwhile, are winless in their past four away league games. A trip to Brighton may have previously been tough, but Arsenal do fare better at the Amex, unbeaten in their past three visits.

Then there’s the showdown with Unai Emery’s Aston Villa at home. Villa beat Arsenal earlier this season, but they have lost on their past two visits to the Emirates. They are in decent away form too, unbeaten in their past seven games on the road across all competitions, including a draw with Ajax in the Europa League. And, finally, Wolves away. This is an interesting one. Arsenal have won their last five games against Wolves, two of which have come at Molineux. However, Wolves have already beaten Man City and Tottenham at home in the league his season, as well as causing problems for Liverpool and Man Utd.

Man City

  • vs Arsenal (H) – 31 March
  • vs Aston Villa (H) – 3 April
  • vs Crystal Palace (A) – 6 April
  • vs Luton (H) – 13 April
  • vs Tottenham (A) – 20 April

On the other side of the title-decider, Man City will look at their Etihad record against Arsenal as a boost, unbeaten in their past nine home games. Guardiola’s side are also unbeaten at the Etihad in 38 games, a run stretching back to November 2022, with 33 victories. However, Arsenal have won each of their past four Premier League away games, scoring at least five goals in the last three.

Man City also have a home game against Aston Villa and Luton, and could end Emery side’s unbeaten away streak before they travel to the Emirates. But, at the same time, they could face a Luton side in a worse away run after their visit to the Emirates. Man City also lost away to Aston Villa earlier this season, but they haven’t been beaten by the Villans at the Etihad since the 2012/13 EFL Cup. In the league, you have to go back to April 2007. This will also be the third time Man City have faced Luton this season. The first meeting was a close one, as Man City left with a 2-1 victory, but just last month they thrashed the Hatters 6-2 at Kenilworth Road.

Away from home, Man City have two visits to London. The first sees them face Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park, a stadium they haven’t lost in since April 2015, winning seven and drawing two of their past nine visits. But Palace are growing under Glasner and will want to join the exclusive club avoiding defeat home and away against Man City this season. And, finally, Man City’s kryptonite. Guardiola doesn’t enjoy his trips to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with Man City losing their first five visits, without scoring a single goal. They did end that drought in the FA Cup in January with a 1-0 win, but we’ll have to see if that was a fluke or the start of something new.

How the Premier League table might look after 33 games

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