What a situation we find ourselves in in the Bundesliga right now. After 21 matches played, three teams are level at the top of the table on 43 points, potentially giving us an exciting title race that will last the remainder of the season. Currently leading the way on goal difference (and by some margin) are Bayern Munich, but they are also the team to have seen their lead slip in recent weeks.
Bayern are defending champions and searching for an 11th consecutive title, but started 2023 in poor form. Returning from the winter break with three consecutive draws, Bayern did finally end their winless start with consecutive victories over Wolfsburg and Bochum. But last time out they were beat 3-2 by an out-of-form Borussia Monchengladbach which allowed two teams to move level on points.
One of those teams is Union Berlin, with the capital club currently third due to goal difference, also trailing Borussia Dortmund. But Union have actually strung together more wins than Bayern Munich this season 13-12, with four draws and four defeats. Union also had the opportunity to go top of the table last weekend but they were held to a goalless draw by strugglers Schalke.
The draw ended Union’s five-game winning run in the Bundesliga since the return of the German top flight which also saw them beat RB Leipzig. Across all competitions, Union are now unbeaten in nine matches since a 4-1 defeat to Freiburg in their final game before the World Cup. That run has also seen Union reach the last 16 of the Europa League, beating Ajax 3-1 on aggregate.
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Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin match stats
Bayern Munich often seem to find a way to get a result against title rivals but this game will be an extremely close one. These two sides have the best defensive records in the Bundesliga this season, with Bayern conceding 21 goals and Union Berlin 24. They also have the two lowest Expected Goals Against values in the league with Union at 20.1 and Bayern 22.0.
However, they also thrive in attack. No teams have outperformed their xG more than Bayern and Union this season, with Bayern having a +16.0 swing and Union’s at +11.2. One of the main men for Bayern in recent weeks has been Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, who has scored eight goals since matchday 10, more than any other player.
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin: Squawka Says
Scoreline prediction: Bayern Munich 2-2 Union Berlin
3 September 2022 – Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern Munich – Bundesliga
19 March 2022 – Bayern Munich 4-0 Union Berlin – Bundesliga
30 October 2021 – Union Berlin 2-5 Bayern Munich – Bundesliga
10 April 2021 – Bayern Munich 1-1 Union Berlin – Bundesliga
12 December 2020 – Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern Munich – Bundesliga
Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their seven games against Union Berlin with four wins and three draws. Union will be looking to avoid defeat against Bayern in a season for the second time, after 2020/21.