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Squawka / News / Hamburger SV vs Mainz predictions and betting tips: tight one in Hamburg

Hamburger SV vs Mainz predictions and betting tips: tight one in Hamburg

06 Sep · 14:30 Volksparkstadion · Bundesliga
S. Becker   19' P. Mwene   41' P. Tietz   48', 83' R. Königsdörffer   90 + 1'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 2'
    S. Becker
  3. 90 + 1'
    R. Königsdörffer
  4. 88'
    L. Maloney on for K. Sano
  5. 88'
    O. Ruoppi on for Lee Jae-Sung
  6. 88'
    R. Nakuzola on for S. Posch
  7. 85'
    P. Mwene
  8. L. Lemke on for D. Møller Wolfe
    84'
  9. 83'
    P. Tietz
  10. 81'
    D. da Costa on for A. Caci
  11. 68'
    R. Königsdörffer on for S. Becker
  12. O. Stange on for T. Moffi
    64'
  13. 48'
    P. Tietz
  14. S. Nandja on for J. Torunarigha
    46'
  15. P. Daka on for M. Adeline
    46'
  16. Fábio Vieira on for B. Nadir
    46'
  17. Half Time
  18. 41'
    P. Mwene
  19. Z. El Ouahdi
    36'
  20. 31'
    A. Caci
  21. 19'
    S. Becker
  22. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
54.6% Possession 45.4%
0 Goals 5
8 Shots 17
1 Shots On Target 8
4 Corners Won 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
0 Goals 5
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots On Target 8
Defending
5 Goals Conceded 0
0 Clean sheets 1
Passing
421 Total Passes 350
347 Accurate Passes 269
Possession
54.6% Possession 45.4%
4 Corners 5
Discipline
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
14 Fouls 19
Goals
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Phillip Tietz
    2
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Phillipp Mwene
    1
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Ransford Königsdörffer
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Sheraldo Becker
    4
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Phillip Tietz
    4
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    David Møller Wolfe
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Anthony Caci
    3
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Phillipp Mwene
    3
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    Nicolás Capaldo
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Sheraldo Becker
    2
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Kaishu Sano
    1
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Phillipp Mwene
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Nadiem Amiri
    3
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Lee Jae-Sung
    3
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Kaishu Sano
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Hamburger SV
    Nicolai Remberg
    48
  • 2
    Hamburger SV
    Sebastiaan Bornauw
    44
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    Daniel Heuer Fernandes
    40
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Fabio Gruber
    2
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Stefan Posch
    1
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Kacper Potulski
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Anthony Caci
    3
  • 2
    Hamburger SV
    Nicolás Capaldo
    2
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Nadiem Amiri
    2
01
Heuer Fernandes
23
Torunarigha
33
Bornauw
24
Capaldo
03
Møller Wolfe
21
Remberg
04
Nadir
07
El Ouahdi
11
Grønbæk
05
Adeline
09
Moffi
09
Tietz
23
Becker
02
Mwene
07
Jae-Sung
06
Sano
10
Amiri
19
Caci
48
Potulski
03
Gruber
04
Posch
01
Schwolow
Substitutes
37 Louis Lemke 
18 Bakery Jatta 
20 Fábio Vieira 
22 Kofi Amoako 
15 Yussuf Poulsen 
43 Shafiq Nandja 
12 Sander Tangvik 
19 Otto Stange 
27 Patson Daka 
Substitutes
 Benedict Hollerbach 17
 Sota Kawasaki 24
 Otto Ruoppi 20
 Rael Nakuzola 47
 Ransford Königsdörffer 11
 Danny da Costa 21
 Lennard Maloney 15
 Maximilian Kinzig 40
 Stefan Bell 16

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Hamburger SV vs Mainz is a Bundesliga Matchday 2 clash at the Volksparkstadion on Sunday, with little between two sides seeking a first win.

Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Bundesliga clash below.

Premium Tips

Andy expects a close game and leans towards a share of the spoils.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Yousef Poulsen to score anytime and Nadiem Amiri to assist anytime16/1The underlying creative case rests on Amiri, who is Mainz’s chief supplier: he racked up 69 chances created (key passes) in the sample and shoots plenty himself, with 57 shots and 12 goals, so he is constantly involved around the box. Poulsen offers a striker’s goal threat for Hamburg at home against a Mainz side still finding its feet.
Hamburger SV or draw (Double Chance) and both teams to score7/5The double chance leans on Hamburg’s home advantage in the Volksparkstadion, where they thumped Mainz 4-0 in the most recent home meeting, giving the cover of a home win or draw a solid base. The both-teams angle is supported by the fixture’s history of trading goals, with recent meetings including 3-2, 3-1 and 1-1 scorelines.

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How Hamburger SV go into the game

Hamburger SV were beaten 2-0 at Dortmund on the opening weekend, a tough start back in the top flight. The Volksparkstadion will demand a response.

Newly promoted, Hamburg are organised and will fancy their chances at home against a beatable Mainz.

How Mainz 05 go into the game

Mainz drew 0-0 with Paderborn on the opening weekend, a cautious start. They travel to Hamburg looking for a first win.

Well-organised and hard to beat, Mainz will look to frustrate Hamburg and nick something. A sharper edge in attack is needed.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05: 2025-26 by the numbers

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
20/02/26Mainz1-1Hamburg
05/10/25Hamburg4-0Mainz
03/03/18Hamburg0-0Mainz
14/10/17Mainz3-2Hamburg
07/05/17Hamburg0-0Mainz

Three of the last five meetings between Hamburg and Mainz have ended level.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both teams to score8/15⭐⭐⭐Both carry a threat.
Hamburger SV or draw (Double Chance)2/7⭐⭐⭐Home cover in a tight game.
Over 2.5 goals8/13⭐⭐An open game is possible.
Mainz 05 to win11/8⭐⭐Marginal market favourites.
Hamburger SV 1-1 Mainz 0511/2⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 score prediction

There is little between two sides still seeking a first win, and a draw would be no surprise. Expect a tight, competitive contest in Hamburg. Score prediction: Hamburger SV 1-1 Mainz 05.

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