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Squawka / News / Hamburger SV vs Mainz predictions and betting tips: tight one in Hamburg

Hamburger SV vs Mainz predictions and betting tips: tight one in Hamburg

06 Sep · 14:30 Volksparkstadion · Bundesliga
7
Goals
4
4
Goals Conceded
7
11
Yellow Cards
11
21
Corners Won
19
62
Shots
60
97
Tackles Won
82
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Bundesliga · 20 Feb 2026
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
4 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
Bundesliga · 05 Oct 2025
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
Bundesliga · 03 Mar 2018
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
3 - 2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Bundesliga · 14 Oct 2017
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
Bundesliga · 07 May 2017
Shots
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Danny da Costa
    5
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Lee Jae-Sung
    4
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Phillip Tietz
    3
  • 4
    Hamburger SV
    Patson Daka
    3
  • 5
    Mainz 05
    Kaishu Sano
    2
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Anthony Caci
    3
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Fabio Gruber
    3
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    Louis Lemke
    2
  • 4
    Hamburger SV
    Nicolás Capaldo
    2
  • 5
    Hamburger SV
    Albert Sambi Lokonga
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Nadiem Amiri
    6
  • 2
    Hamburger SV
    Albert Sambi Lokonga
    2
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    Nicolás Capaldo
    2
  • 4
    Mainz 05
    Anthony Caci
    2
  • 5
    Mainz 05
    Phillip Tietz
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Hamburger SV
    Albert Sambi Lokonga
    57
  • 2
    Hamburger SV
    Daniel Heuer Fernandes
    57
  • 3
    Mainz 05
    Kaishu Sano
    52
  • 4
    Mainz 05
    Dominik Kohr
    44
  • 5
    Mainz 05
    Fabio Gruber
    43
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Nadiem Amiri
    3
  • 2
    Hamburger SV
    Albert Grønbæk
    2
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    Louis Lemke
    1
  • 4
    Hamburger SV
    Albert Sambi Lokonga
    1
  • 5
    Mainz 05
    Anthony Caci
    1
Interceptions
  • 1
    Mainz 05
    Kaishu Sano
    4
  • 2
    Mainz 05
    Lee Jae-Sung
    4
  • 3
    Hamburger SV
    Sebastiaan Bornauw
    4
  • 4
    Hamburger SV
    Louis Lemke
    3
  • 5
    Hamburger SV
    Nicolás Capaldo
    2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
  • Miro Muheim Defender · Thigh Injury
  • Warmed Omari Defender · Shoulder Injury
  • Fernando Dickes Goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury
  • Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit Attacker · Ankle Injury
Mainz 05 Mainz 05
  • Dominik Kohr Defender · Ankle Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Paul Nebel Midfielder · Groin Injury
  • Eric Martel Midfielder · MCL Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)
  • Silas Katompa Mvumpa Attacker · Broken Leg
  • Benedict Hollerbach Attacker · Achilles Tendon Rupture

No price boosts for this event.

Bet Builder is not available yet.

Betting markets are not available yet.

01
Heuer Fernandes
23
Torunarigha
33
Bornauw
24
Capaldo
37
Lemke
21
Remberg
06
Sambi Lokonga
18
Jatta
11
Grønbæk
05
Adeline
27
Daka
09
Tietz
23
Becker
10
Amiri
07
Jae-Sung
02
Mwene
19
Caci
06
Sano
31
Kohr
03
Gruber
21
da Costa
27
Zentner

League Standings table is not available yet.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz is a Bundesliga Matchday 2 clash at the Volksparkstadion on Sunday, with little between two sides seeking a first win.

Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record for this Bundesliga clash below.

Bet365 UK Hamburger SV VS Mainz 05
Watch here

Premium Tips

Andy expects a close game and leans towards a share of the spoils.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Yousef Poulsen to score anytime and Nadiem Amiri to assist anytime16/1The underlying creative case rests on Amiri, who is Mainz’s chief supplier: he racked up 69 chances created (key passes) in the sample and shoots plenty himself, with 57 shots and 12 goals, so he is constantly involved around the box. Poulsen offers a striker’s goal threat for Hamburg at home against a Mainz side still finding its feet.
Hamburger SV or draw (Double Chance) and both teams to score7/5The double chance leans on Hamburg’s home advantage in the Volksparkstadion, where they thumped Mainz 4-0 in the most recent home meeting, giving the cover of a home win or draw a solid base. The both-teams angle is supported by the fixture’s history of trading goals, with recent meetings including 3-2, 3-1 and 1-1 scorelines.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Hamburger SV go into the game

Hamburger SV were beaten 2-0 at Dortmund on the opening weekend, a tough start back in the top flight. The Volksparkstadion will demand a response.

Newly promoted, Hamburg are organised and will fancy their chances at home against a beatable Mainz.

How Mainz 05 go into the game

Mainz drew 0-0 with Paderborn on the opening weekend, a cautious start. They travel to Hamburg looking for a first win.

Well-organised and hard to beat, Mainz will look to frustrate Hamburg and nick something. A sharper edge in attack is needed.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05: 2025-26 by the numbers

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
20/02/26Mainz1-1Hamburg
05/10/25Hamburg4-0Mainz
03/03/18Hamburg0-0Mainz
14/10/17Mainz3-2Hamburg
07/05/17Hamburg0-0Mainz

Three of the last five meetings between Hamburg and Mainz have ended level.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both teams to score8/15⭐⭐⭐Both carry a threat.
Hamburger SV or draw (Double Chance)2/7⭐⭐⭐Home cover in a tight game.
Over 2.5 goals8/13⭐⭐An open game is possible.
Mainz 05 to win11/8⭐⭐Marginal market favourites.
Hamburger SV 1-1 Mainz 0511/2⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 score prediction

There is little between two sides still seeking a first win, and a draw would be no surprise. Expect a tight, competitive contest in Hamburg. Score prediction: Hamburger SV 1-1 Mainz 05.

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