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Squawka / News / Napoli vs Como predictions and betting tips: Low-scoring home win backed

Napoli vs Como predictions and betting tips: Low-scoring home win backed

30 Aug · 17:30 Stadio San Paolo · Serie A
17:30
1 - 2
R. Højlund   30'
M. Baturina   17' T. Douvikas   34'
  1. Full Time
  2. 81'
    Kaiki on for N. Paz
  3. David Neres on for F. Anguissa
    80'
  4. L. Lucca on for R. Højlund
    80'
  5. 66'
    M. Perrone on for L. da Cunha
  6. 65'
    M. Kempf on for A. Diao
  7. 58'
    I. Smolčić on for Yan Couto
  8. 58'
    M. Caqueret on for M. Baturina
  9. Alisson Santos on for N. Lang
    56'
  10. L. Spinazzola on for M. Olivera
    56'
  11. K. De Bruyne on for S. McTominay
    56'
  12. Half Time
  13. G. Di Lorenzo
    37'
  14. 34'
    T. Douvikas
  15. R. Højlund
    30'
  16. 17'
    M. Baturina
  17. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
42.3% Possession 57.7%
1 Goals 2
13 Shots 21
2 Shots On Target 6
2 Corners Won 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
1 Goals 2
13 Total Shots 21
2 Shots On Target 6
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 1
0 Clean sheets 0
Passing
442 Total Passes 609
385 Accurate Passes 555
Possession
42.3% Possession 57.7%
2 Corners 7
Discipline
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
9 Fouls 5
Goals
  • 1
    Tasos Douvikas
    1
  • 2
    Martin Baturina
    1
  • 3
    Napoli
    Rasmus Højlund
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Nico Paz
    5
  • 2
    Martin Baturina
    4
  • 3
    Tasos Douvikas
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Napoli
    Giovanni Di Lorenzo
    2
  • 2
    Luis Milla
    2
  • 3
    Jacobo Ramón
    1
Assists
  • 1
    Assane Diao
    1
  • 2
    Napoli
    Amir Rrahmani
    1
  • 3
    Martin Baturina
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Napoli
    Kevin De Bruyne
    4
  • 2
    Álex Valle
    3
  • 3
    Assane Diao
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Jacobo Ramón
    85
  • 2
    Luis Milla
    78
  • 3
    Napoli
    Amir Rrahmani
    64
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Nico Paz
    5
  • 2
    Tasos Douvikas
    2
  • 3
    Napoli
    Frank Anguissa
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Luis Milla
    5
  • 2
    Assane Diao
    2
  • 3
    Álex Valle
    2
01
Meret
17
Olivera
16
Marín
13
Rrahmani
22
Di Lorenzo
08
McTominay
68
Lobotka
99
Anguissa
70
Lang
19
Højlund
21
Politano
09
Douvikas
20
Baturina
10
Paz
11
Diao
07
da Cunha
06
Milla
03
Valle
99
Chalobah
04
Ramón
27
Couto
01
Butez
Substitutes
23 Giovane 
31 Sam Beukema 
06 Billy Gilmour 
32 Vanja Milinkovic-Savic 
20 Lorenzo Lucca 
27 Alisson Santos 
07 David Neres 
37 Leonardo Spinazzola 
47 Christian Garofalo 
02 Costantino Favasuli 
11 Kevin De Bruyne 
26 Antonio Vergara 
14 Nikita Contini 
Substitutes
 Mattia Liberali 30
 Alberto Dossena 13
 Jesús Rodríguez 17
 Máximo Perrone 05
 Adrian Lahdo 15
 Maxence Caqueret 08
 Edoardo Goldaniga 18
 Ivan Smolcic 28
 Kaiki 16
 Willy Kambwala 53
 Mauro Vigorito 22
 Marc Oliver Kempf 02
 Emil Audero 12
 Samuele Ricci 14
 Iván Azón 90

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Napoli vs Como is a Serie A clash at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday, with the hosts fancied in a likely tight contest.

Napoli won at Genoa while Como drew at Udinese, and the hosts are favourites. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Andy favours Napoli but expects a cagey, low-scoring afternoon.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Napoli to win and under 2.5 goals7/2Napoli come into this off a professional 2-0 win at Genoa, exactly the kind of tight, controlled away performance title contenders produce, and the draft expects a similarly cagey afternoon at the Maradona. The head-to-head history is a strong signal for a low-scoring game specifically: two of the last four meetings between these sides finished goalless, and Napoli are noted as valuing clean sheets against a Como side set up to stay compact and frustrate. With the score prediction sitting at a narrow Napoli 1-0, a controlled home win without a flurry of goals fits both the recent pattern between these two clubs and Como’s underdog approach.
Nicolas Paz, Scott McTominay and Kevin De Bruyne over 0.5 shots on target4/1Paz is Como’s most creative outlet and, even in a game where his side is expected to sit deep, he’s the player most likely to pull the trigger on the rare counter-attacking opportunity that comes Como’s way. McTominay and De Bruyne, meanwhile, should see plenty of the ball in Napoli’s well-drilled, home-dominant setup, with De Bruyne’s set-piece and long-range threat and McTominay’s runs into the box both lending themselves to regular efforts on goal. Combining the away side’s main creative spark with two of the home side’s key attacking outlets spreads the shot-based value across both ends of a tight, low-event contest.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Napoli go into the game

Napoli opened with a professional 2-0 win at Genoa, exactly the kind of away performance contenders produce. The Maradona will expect three points here.

Napoli are well-drilled and dangerous, and home advantage is significant. Turning that into a win against a stubborn Como is the aim.

How Como go into the game

Como drew 1-1 at Udinese on the opening weekend, a decent point on the road. They travel to Naples as clear underdogs.

Como are an improving side and will look to frustrate Napoli, but the Maradona is a daunting venue. Staying compact is key.

Napoli vs Como: 2025-26 by the numbers

Napoli vs Como head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26Como0-0Napoli
01/11/25Napoli0-0Como
23/02/25Como2-1Napoli
04/10/24Napoli3-1Como

Four meetings level: one win apiece and two goalless draws.

Napoli vs Como predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Napoli to win6/4⭐⭐⭐Home edge, quality gap.
Under 2.5 goals8/13⭐⭐⭐A cagey game is expected.
Napoli or draw (Double Chance)4/9⭐⭐⭐Cover on the hosts.
Both teams to score – No4/5⭐⭐Napoli value clean sheets.
Napoli to win 1-011/2⭐⭐Headline scoreline.

Napoli vs Como score prediction

Como will make it awkward, but Napoli’s quality and home advantage should tell in a tight game. Expect a controlled, low-scoring home win. Score prediction: Napoli 1-0 Como.

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