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Squawka / News / Venezia vs Lecce predictions and betting tips: Goals hard to come by in Venice

Venezia vs Lecce predictions and betting tips: Goals hard to come by in Venice

23 Aug · 17:30 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo · Serie A
17:30
0 - 2
O. Gorter   46' Tiago Gabriel   80'
  1. Full Time
  2. 90 + 1'
    O. Gandelman on for S. Pierotti
  3. R. Sagrado on for A. Hainaut
    85'
  4. Albion Rrahmani on for T. Bašić
    85'
  5. 80'
    Tiago Gabriel
  6. M. Dagasso
    78'
  7. 74'
    N. Štulić on for W. Geubbels
  8. 74'
    Tiago Gabriel on for K. N’Dri
  9. 71'
    Danilo Veiga
  10. M. Dagasso on for Kike Pérez
    70'
  11. R. Haps on for Thierry Correia
    64'
  12. 61'
    Y. Maleh on for O. Gorter
  13. 59'
    O. Ngom
  14. 46'
    C. Ndaba on for A. Gallo
  15. 46'
    O. Gorter
  16. Half Time
  17. Thierry Correia Goal disallowed
    16'
  18. 3'
    Kialonda Gaspar
  19. Kick Off
Momentum
Top Stats
71% Possession 29%
0 Goals 2
19 Shots 12
7 Shots On Target 5
5 Corners Won 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
Shooting
0 Goals 2
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots On Target 5
Defending
2 Goals Conceded 0
0 Clean sheets 1
Passing
632 Total Passes 260
548 Accurate Passes 189
Possession
71% Possession 29%
5 Corners 3
Discipline
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
8 Fouls 12
Goals
  • 1
    Lecce
    Olaf Gorter
    1
  • 2
    Lecce
    Tiago Gabriel
    1
Shots
  • 1
    Venezia
    Gianluca Busio
    3
  • 2
    Lecce
    Nikola Stulic
    3
  • 3
    Venezia
    Akor Adams
    3
Tackles Won
  • 1
    Lecce
    Kialonda Gaspar
    3
  • 2
    Lecce
    Jamil Siebert
    2
  • 3
    Lecce
    Konan N’Dri
    2
Assists
  • 1
    Lecce
    Lassana Coulibaly
    1
Chances Created
  • 1
    Venezia
    Toma Basic
    3
  • 2
    Venezia
    John Yeboah
    2
  • 3
    Lecce
    Jamil Siebert
    2
Passes Completed
  • 1
    Venezia
    Gianluca Busio
    97
  • 2
    Venezia
    Bartol Franjic
    72
  • 3
    Venezia
    Joël Schingtienne
    68
Take Ons Completed
  • 1
    Venezia
    John Yeboah
    4
  • 2
    Lecce
    Lassana Coulibaly
    3
  • 3
    Venezia
    Gianluca Busio
    2
Interceptions
  • 1
    Lecce
    Jamil Siebert
    4
  • 2
    Lecce
    Danilo Veiga
    2
  • 3
    Lecce
    Lassana Coulibaly
    2
01
Stankovic
04
Franjic
17
Bella-Kotchap
03
Schingtienne
14
Correia
26
Basic
06
Busio
71
Pérez
18
Hainaut
45
Adams
10
Yeboah
11
N’Dri
69
Geubbels
50
Pierotti
28
Gorter
79
Ngom
29
Coulibaly
25
Gallo
05
Siebert
04
Gaspar
17
Veiga
30
Falcone
Substitutes
56 Kornel Lisman 
30 Matteo Dagasso 
21 Thórir Helgason 
08 Lamine Fanne 
25 Redouane Halhal 
11 Marko Farji 
19 Simon Sohm 
07 Albion Rrahmani 
90 Alvin Okoro 
05 Ridgeciano Haps 
29 Lion Lauberbach 
20 Richie Sagrado 
55 Simone Panada 
96 Lorenzo Montipò 
95 Ale Gomes 
Substitutes
 Hjalte Lærke 34
 Marco Bleve 01
 Sadik Fofana 08
 Nikola Stulic 09
 Omri Gandelman 16
 Corrie Ndaba 03
 Paco Esteban 22
 Youssef Maleh 14
 Tiago Gabriel 44
 Plamen Penev 33

League Standings table is not available yet.

Data provided by

Venezia vs Lecce is a Serie A opener between two sides expecting a battle near the bottom, and a low-scoring afternoon is anticipated at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on Sunday, kicking off at 5.30pm (UK time).

Promoted Venezia host a Lecce side who survived by the skin of their teeth last season, in a game that looks all about fine margins. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Premium Tips

Andy expects a tight, nervy contest between two sides who know how precious early points can be.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Venezia double chance and under 2.5 goals11/10Venezia’s promotion campaign was built on making the Penzo a fortress, and back in Serie A they’ll lean on that same difficult atmosphere here. Lecce, who survived by a whisker last season, are unlikely to come at this from the front, and their away approach is set up to frustrate rather than chase the game — a point on the road would suit them fine. Neither side scored freely last term (Lecce found the net just 28 times in 38 games), and the last two head-to-head meetings produced only three goals between them. Expect a tight, low-event afternoon with home advantage edging it Venezia’s way.
Jamil Siebert and Oumar Ngom to be booked21/2Lecce’s away game plan is built around discipline and containment, and Siebert and Ngom are two of the players most likely to do the containing. Siebert, a summer signing from Fortuna Düsseldorf, steps straight into a back line facing a direct, promoted side eager to test them physically, and centre-backs new to Serie A’s pace often pick up early cautions doing the dirty work. Ngom’s job in midfield is to break up Venezia’s transitions before they reach the box, which carries its own booking risk. With Lecce set to spend long spells defending deep, both look well-placed to pick up cards.

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How Venezia go into the game

Venezia return to Serie A and will target home form as the key to survival. The unique surroundings of the Penzo make it a difficult place to visit, and they will want to make it count.

Newly promoted, they know goals may be hard to come by at this level. Keeping things tight and nicking results at home is likely to be the blueprint for staying up.

How Lecce go into the game

Lecce finished 17th last season on 38 points, surviving on the final day after a season-long scrap. They managed only 28 goals and were often reliant on their defensive organisation.

On the road, Lecce tend to set up to frustrate, and a point from this trip would suit them fine. Expect a disciplined, low-risk approach from the visitors.

Venezia vs Lecce: 2025-26 by the numbers

Venezia vs Lecce head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/25Lecce1-1Venezia
25/11/24Venezia0-1Lecce

There is little between these sides on recent evidence, with the two most recent meetings producing just three goals in total.

Venezia vs Lecce predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Under 2.5 goals4/6⭐⭐⭐⭐Both recent meetings stayed under.
Both teams to score – No4/5⭐⭐⭐Two shy attacks meet on day one.
Venezia or draw (Double Chance)1/3⭐⭐⭐Home edge in a close contest.
Draw2/1⭐⭐Fine margins point to the spoils shared.
Over 1.5 goals2/5⭐⭐At least a couple still feels likely.

Venezia vs Lecce score prediction

Neither side scores freely and both know how vital a solid start is, so caution is likely to win the day. A tight home win or a share of the points are the standout outcomes. Score prediction: Venezia 1-0 Lecce.

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