- Full Time
- 87'K. Mutandwa on for D. Maldini
- 87'G. Aurelio on for A. Obert
- B. Cremaschi on for M. Troilo85'
- N. Elphege on for A. Konaté84'
- 79'A. Romano
- Ousmane Diallo on for S. Lontani75'
- R. Kouda on for M. Keita75'
- 66'G. Borrelli on for P. Mendy
- 66'M. Felici on for J. Fazzini
- 66'G. Zappa on for Zé Pedro
- P. Almqvist on for Adrián Bernabé66'
- 57'J. Fazzini
- Half Time
- 10'Zé Pedro
- Kick Off
-
1
Alessandro Romano1
- 1Paul Mendy4
- 2
Enrico Delprato3 - 3Alessandro Romano2
- 1Alessandro Romano4
- 2Christian Ordóñez4
- 3Adam Obert2
- 1Michel Adopo1
- 1Daniel Maldini3
- 2Emanuele Valeri3
- 3Adam Obert2
- 1Mariano Troilo72
- 2Juan Rodríguez71
- 3Harry Winks64
- 1Jacopo Fazzini3
- 2Daniel Maldini2
- 3Gennaro Borrelli2
- 1Juan Rodríguez4
- 2Jacopo Fazzini3
- 3Adam Obert2
Parma vs Cagliari is a Serie A opener between two sides who spent last season near the foot of the table, and few goals are expected at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, kicking off at 7.45pm (UK time).
Both Parma and Cagliari finished in the bottom half last season and this has the look of a cagey, cautious contest. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.
Premium Tips
Andy is playing the percentages, with everything about this fixture pointing to another tight, low-scoring affair.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari to win and under 2.5 goals | 9/2 | Cagliari have the psychological edge here, unbeaten in six meetings with Parma and winning four of them, including a 2-0 success at the Tardini last September. Parma’s finishing struggles were laid bare last season too, just 28 goals from 38 games as they scraped to 13th, and Serie A openers rarely produce goalmouth fireworks as both sides feel each other out early doors. Cagliari’s own attack isn’t much sharper, so backing the away win alongside under 2.5 goals captures both trends in a single price: the Sardinians’ strong recent record against this opponent, and the tight, low-scoring script this fixture keeps writing. At 9/2, that looks like value. |
| Alessandro Romano and Mariano Troilo to be booked | 12/1 | Troilo has previous when it comes to referees’ notebooks, six yellow cards and two reds in just 21 Serie A appearances for Parma last season, a rate that marks him out as one of the division’s more combative centre-backs, and he could be tasked with shackling Cagliari’s forwards for long spells here. Romano, meanwhile, arrives at Cagliari this summer on loan from Roma as a tenacious, ball-winning central midfielder still finding his feet in a new environment, exactly the profile likely to pick up an early caution while trying to make a mark in his first outings for the club. Two cards from these two feels well within reach at 12/1. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Parma go into the game
Parma finished 13th last season on 45 points, surviving comfortably enough but managing only 28 goals in the process. The Tardini can be a tough place to visit, yet chances have been at a premium for this side.
Grinding out results has been Parma’s way, and another low-scoring afternoon would suit them. They will need to be more clinical than they were for much of last season if they are to take three points.
How Cagliari go into the game
Cagliari ended last season 14th on 43 points, safe but rarely spectacular. They have, however, made a habit of getting the better of Parma, and travel with genuine confidence in this particular fixture.
Well organised and hard to beat, Cagliari will fancy their chances of at least a share of the spoils. Their recent record against Saturday’s hosts is excellent and gives them a psychological edge.
Parma vs Cagliari head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 | Parma | 1-1 | Cagliari |
| 13/09/25 | Cagliari | 2-0 | Parma |
| 09/02/25 | Cagliari | 2-1 | Parma |
| 30/09/24 | Parma | 2-3 | Cagliari |
| 17/04/21 | Cagliari | 4-3 | Parma |
Cagliari have the wood on Parma, who are without a win in the last six meetings between the sides. Four of those games went to the Sardinians.
Parma vs Cagliari predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals | 4/7 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Two low-scoring attacks meet on day one. |
| Cagliari or draw (Double Chance) | 8/15 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Parma winless in six against them. |
| Both teams to score – No | 8/11 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Goals have been scarce for both. |
| Draw | 2/1 | ⭐⭐ | A share of the spoils looks likely. |
| Cagliari to win | 15/8 | ⭐⭐ | The visitors’ H2H record is strong. |
Parma vs Cagliari score prediction
Parma’s struggles in front of goal and Cagliari’s excellent recent record in this fixture point to a tight, tense affair. Honours even, with few clear chances, feels the most likely outcome. Score prediction: Parma 1-1 Cagliari.
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