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Brighton vs Aston Villa is a strong-looking Sunday fixture at the Amex, with the hosts narrow favourites against a Villa side that has enjoyed recent meetings.
Brighton have home advantage, but Villa have won three of the last five between the sides. Andy Francis has the best bets, our score prediction and the head-to-head record below. The game kicks off at 2pm BST on Sunday, August 23rd.
Premium Tips
Andy leans towards the hosts and goals, with Brighton’s home form set against a Villa side that always makes them work.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton to win, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals | 11/4 | Brighton’s home form at the Amex has been one of the division’s most reliable assets, and with Kaoru Mitoma’s guile and Georginio Rutter’s attacking threat, the hosts have more than enough quality to see off a Villa side even at their sharpest. Ollie Watkins remains a constant goal threat for the visitors, though, and Unai Emery’s side rarely go quietly, having won three of the last five meetings between these clubs. That combination of home comfort and two sides capable of scoring freely against each other points to goals at both ends, with Brighton’s edge enough to see them over the line at 11/4. |
| Georginio Rutter to score anytime, Boubacar Kamara to be booked and John McGinn over 1.5 shots | 14/1 | Georginio Rutter arrived at Brighton for a club-record fee and has quickly become one of their most dangerous forward options, giving him a strong chance of adding to his tally against a Villa defence that will have its hands full at the Amex. Boubacar Kamara sits at the base of Villa’s midfield and regularly picks up bookings breaking up opposition play, a role he’ll need to lean on heavily here. John McGinn remains Villa’s captain and a persistent goal threat from midfield, rarely afraid to shoot from range. Combining all three markets makes this a well-stacked line at 14/1. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Brighton & Hove Albion go into the game
Brighton finished eighth last season on 53 points, once again proving one of the division’s most watchable and well-coached sides. The Amex is a tough venue and they will want a strong start.
Kaoru Mitoma provides the spark in attack, with plenty of creativity around him. Brighton will back their quality at home, even against a Villa side that has had their number lately.
How Aston Villa go into the game
Aston Villa finished fourth last season on 65 points, cementing their status among the division’s leading sides under Unai Emery. They travel to the Amex with genuine ambitions again.
Ollie Watkins leads the line and remains a consistent source of goals. Villa have won three of the last five meetings with Brighton, so they will fancy their chances on the road.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 | Aston Villa | 1-0 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 03/12/25 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3-4 | Aston Villa |
| 02/04/25 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0-3 | Aston Villa |
| 30/12/24 | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 05/05/24 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1-0 | Aston Villa |
Villa have won three of the last five meetings, including big away wins, with Brighton’s last victory in the fixture coming in May 2024.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton to win | 6/5 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Home advantage and quality at the Amex. |
| Both teams to score | 1/2 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Open, high-scoring recent meetings. |
| Kaoru Mitoma anytime scorer | 2/1 | ⭐⭐ | Brighton’s main attacking spark. |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8/13 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Goals have flowed in this fixture. |
| Brighton to win 2-1 | 9/1 | ⭐⭐ | Our headline scoreline for a home win. |
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa score prediction
Villa have had the better of recent meetings and will be dangerous, but Brighton’s quality at the Amex makes them deserved favourites. We expect an open, entertaining game with goals at both ends, edged by the hosts. Score prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa.

