Erling Haaland is 4/6 with bet365 to win the Premier League Golden Boot again in 2026/27, and the Premier League top scorer odds suggest the rest of the division are playing for second place. The Manchester City striker scored 27 league goals last season, five more than Brentford’s Igor Thiago, and he arrived back from a World Cup in which he scored seven times for Norway. Alexander Isak is next in the betting at 8/1, with bet365 paying four places each-way at 1/4 odds.
How does the Premier League top scorer market work?
The market is settled on the player who scores the most goals in Premier League matches across the 2026/27 season. Goals in the Champions League, FA Cup and Carabao Cup do not count. Own goals are not credited to the scorer.
bet365 are paying four places each-way at 1/4 odds. An each-way bet is two bets, so a £10 each-way stake costs £20: £10 on the outright win and £10 on the place part. If the selection finishes in the top four of the scoring charts, the place half is settled at a quarter of the advertised price.
Who won the Golden Boot last season?
Haaland won the 2025/26 Golden Boot with 27 goals in 35 appearances, his third in four seasons at Manchester City. Only Thierry Henry and Mo Salah, on four each, have won it more often. Igor Thiago was the surprise of the campaign with 22 goals in 38 games for Brentford. Eight of them were penalties, while Antoine Semenyo scored 17 across his half-seasons at Bournemouth and Manchester City. Watkins was fourth on 16 and Joao Pedro fifth on 15.
The underlying numbers back the favourite up. Haaland took 126 shots, 59 of them on target, and finished with 27 goals from 25.2 Expected Goals (xG). No one else in the division reached 100 shots. Salah, the man Haaland replaced at the top, managed only seven league goals in a difficult season for Liverpool.
The players at the top of the market
Erling Haaland (4/6)
Haaland has scored 112 Premier League goals in 132 appearances since joining City in 2022, and he reached 100 in his 111th game, the quickest anyone has managed it. His worst return in four seasons is 22 goals. With the volume of chances he gets makes 4/6 hard to argue with in principle. The question is whether backers want odds-on about a nine-month market.
Alexander Isak (8/1)
Isak’s £125million debut season at Anfield was a write-off. He arrived on deadline day short of fitness, suffered a groin problem, then broke his leg while scoring against Tottenham, and finished with three league goals in 14 appearances. The context matters: he scored 54 goals in 86 top-flight games for Newcastle before the move. Isak has had a full pre-season under Andoni Iraola, who has spoken warmly about his condition after the World Cup, and with Hugo Ekitike sidelined he should lead the line. He is the best striker in the league on his day, but he needs a clean run of fitness for the first time in two years.
Igor Thiago (12/1)
Igor Thiago’s 22 goals in his first full Premier League season made him the story of the campaign, and Brentford responded with a new long-term contract. He is going nowhere despite interest from Manchester United, Chelsea and Tottenham. The positives are just as clear. He is the only focal point at his club, he takes the penalties, and he played all 38 games. For the place part of an each-way bet, he is the most reliable name outside the favourite.
Each-way candidates
Joao Pedro (16/1)
Joao Pedro scored 15 league goals and 20 in all competitions in his first season at Chelsea, and he has been their outstanding performer in pre-season under Xabi Alonso with eight goals, including a hat-trick against Western Sydney Wanderers. Liam Delap has been priced at £50m and could leave, which would leave Joao Pedro as the undisputed number nine. The catch is penalties, which are likely to stay with Palmer, and a Chelsea squad deep enough to rotate. At 16/1 with four places, he is a sensible each-way play.
Viktor Gyokeres (20/1)
Gyokeres scored 21 goals in all competitions in his debut season at Arsenal, 14 of them in the league, the most by a new arrival at the club since Alexis Sanchez in 2014/15. Those 14 goals came from 2,231 minutes and only 26 starts, with Kai Havertz taking chunks of the centre-forward role. He also outscored his xG of 12.4. Arsenal won the title and scored 121 goals in all competitions, so the supply is there, but the summer brought speculation over Julian Alvarez and a possible exit. Gyokeres has said he is comfortable at the Emirates.
Verdict
Haaland is the worthy favourite and nothing about last season, or his seven goals at the World Cup, suggests otherwise. At 4/6 there is no value in a nine-month market, and City’s forward line under a new manager is not settled. The each-way alternative is Igor Thiago at 12/1. He has the penalties, the guaranteed starts and a proven 22-goal season, and the four places at 1/4 odds are the point of the bet. Joao Pedro at 16/1 is the other one to take on, with Delap likely to leave and Alonso already building around him.
All odds from bet365, correct at the time of writing.
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