PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv predictions centre on the Europa League third qualifying round second leg at Toumba Stadium on Thursday 30th July. Kick-off is at 6:45pm (UK time), with PAOK holding a 3-2 advantage from a breathless first leg in Kyiv.
That advantage tells only part of the story. Five different scorers found the net in a frantic first leg last Wednesday. PAOK twice came from behind before Baptiste Santamaria’s second-half strike put them ahead on aggregate. Dynamo Kyiv need at least one goal in Thessaloniki to have any chance of advancing. Their away form in European competition this season reads like a cautionary tale. PAOK, meanwhile, are unbeaten at home on the continent and the Toumba should carry them through.
PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Konstantelias anytime goalscorer | 13/5 @ bet365 (28%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Konstantelias already scored against Dynamo Kyiv in the first leg, equalising in the 13th minute after PAOK had fallen behind early. The attacking midfielder operated as the No.10 in a 4-2-3-1 and was the focal point of everything creative. PAOK have scored 12 goals and conceded just one across six home European games this campaign. That run includes a 5-0 win over Rijeka and a 4-0 demolition of Young Boys. Dynamo Kyiv have conceded in every away European match, shipping 12 goals in six games on the road. A player who has already found the net against this opposition, playing at a fortress, at 13/5 looks a generous price. |
| Alexander Jeremejeff anytime goalscorer | 17/10 @ Sky Bet (37%) | ⭐⭐ | The bookmakers’ favourite in the goalscorer market for good reason. Jeremejeff came off the bench in the first leg and immediately made his presence felt. He earned a yellow card in the 88th minute for his aggressive pressing. PAOK’s home record in Europe this season is built on attacking volume, and Jeremejeff is the striker most likely to benefit. Dynamo need to push forward to overturn the deficit, which should leave gaps for PAOK to exploit on the break. At 17/10 against a defence that have won zero of their six away European games, the price holds firm. |
Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
How both teams head into PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv
PAOK
PAOK’s European form under Alessio Lisci has been defined by two contrasting identities. At home, they are formidable. Toumba Stadium has hosted a 5-0 thrashing of Rijeka, a 4-0 win over Young Boys and a 2-0 victory against Real Betis in 2025/26. The only goal they conceded at home across the group stage and qualifying came in a 1-1 draw with Brann.
Away from home, the picture is more chaotic. PAOK won 4-3 at Lille and drew 3-3 at Ludogorets, but also lost 4-2 at Lyon. Celta de Vigo eliminated them across two legs in the knockout round. The first leg in Kyiv was classic PAOK on the road: thrilling, nervy and ultimately productive. Three different scorers, Konstantelias, Christos Zafeiris and Santamaria, found the net in a 3-2 win that gives them a one-goal cushion heading into Thursday.
The attacking depth is the standout quality. Two of PAOK’s three first-leg goals came from defensive midfielders Zafeiris and Santamaria. That speaks to a side that scores from all positions. With the aggregate lead and a wall of noise behind them, expect PAOK to control this tie.
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv’s European season has been a story of domestic hope meeting continental reality. Ihor Kostiuk’s side beat Noah 2-0 at home and hammered Zrinjski 6-0, but those results came against modest opposition. The step up in quality has exposed them repeatedly, particularly on the road.
The away record makes uncomfortable reading. Dynamo have lost five of six away European games this campaign, scoring just twice while conceding 12. Defeats at Pafos, Maccabi Tel Aviv, Samsunspor, Omonia Nicosia and Fiorentina have followed a depressingly similar pattern: limited attacking output and defensive vulnerability under pressure.
Even at home, the picture is mixed. Dynamo lost 2-0 to Crystal Palace in the Uefa Conference League and fell 0-1 to Pafos in Champions League qualifying. The first-leg defeat to PAOK follows the trend. Volodymyr Brazhko’s third-minute opener raised hopes of a statement result, only for PAOK to score three times and take a decisive advantage back to Thessaloniki.
PAOK team news
Lisci has no major concerns heading into the second leg. Pantelis Hatzidiakos and Konstantelias were both booked in the first leg, but yellow cards should not present a suspension issue. Jiri Pavlenka is expected to continue in goal behind a back four of Jonjoe Kenny, Hatzidiakos, Giannis Michailidis and Jonathan Gomez.
The midfield partnership of Santamaria and Zafeiris, both first-leg goalscorers, should retain their places. Jeremejeff is the main competition for Anestis Mythou up front. His status as the bookmakers’ shortest-priced goalscorer suggests he could start or feature prominently off the bench.
Dynamo Kyiv team news
Kostiuk faces a tactical dilemma. Dynamo need at least one goal to keep the tie alive. That likely means a more attacking approach than the 4-3-3 deployed in the first leg. Andriy Yarmolenko and Vitalii Buialskyi were unused substitutes in Kyiv and could offer experience off the bench or even from the start.
Matvii Ponomarenko, booked in the first leg, is expected to lead the line again. Brazhko’s early goal will have earned him another start in central midfield, while Mykola Shaparenko remains the creative outlet. Whether Kostiuk sticks or twists with his lineup will define Dynamo’s approach.
Head-to-Head
The first leg on 23/07/26 is the only previous meeting between these two sides. PAOK won 3-2 in Kyiv despite falling behind inside three minutes through Brazhko’s early strike. Konstantelias equalised on 13 minutes before Zafeiris made it 2-1 shortly before half-time. Santamaria extended the lead to 3-1 early in the second half. Justin Lonwijk pulled one back on 77 minutes, but PAOK held on to carry a one-goal advantage into the return leg.
Four yellow cards in the first leg, one for Dynamo and three for PAOK, suggest a competitive edge that should carry into the second meeting. Five goals from five different scorers points to a tie where opportunities arrive from multiple sources.
Which side will come out on top at Toumba Stadium?
PAOK are favourites at a best price of 4/5, with the draw at 14/5 and Dynamo Kyiv at 7/2. The to-qualify market is even more decisive: PAOK are 1/9 to reach the play-off round, with Dynamo at 6/1.
Everything points toward a comfortable PAOK progression. The aggregate lead removes the pressure, Toumba Stadium has been a fortress all season, and Dynamo’s away record offers no reason to expect an upset. In six away European games this campaign, Kostiuk’s side have managed just two goals and zero wins. The idea of them overturning a deficit in one of the most hostile atmospheres in Greek football feels ambitious to say the least.
Our bets reflect that dominance. Konstantelias at 13/5 to score anytime is the headline. He already found the net against this opponent and operates at the heart of PAOK’s attack. Jeremejeff at 17/10 completes the pair as the market favourite. PAOK score freely at home, and Thursday should be no different.
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