Union Berlin and Augsburg go head-to-head in a clash that pits two sides with contrasting recent fortunes and a history of tight encounters.
Neither team boasts star names among the Bundesliga’s top scorers or creators, but Augsburg’s stronger league position and solid away record give this fixture a sharp competitive edge. Kick-off is at 2:30pm (UK time) on Saturday 16 May at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, with both teams eager to end the season on a positive note.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, underlying stats and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Augsburg’s ability to avoid defeat, given their superior record in this fixture and more balanced attacking numbers.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg to Win | 7/5 @ Matchbook (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Augsburg to win because they’ve secured victory in 6 of the last 13 meetings with Union Berlin, including 2 of the last 4. Augsburg’s attack has produced more goals (45 to 40) and their shot accuracy (46.6%) is notably stronger. Union Berlin’s leaky defence (58 conceded) makes the away win a value play. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 13/8 @ Bet365 (38.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to both teams’ modest attacking output and history of tight contests. Four of the last six meetings have seen two or fewer goals, and neither side ranks among the Bundesliga’s most prolific attacks. With both averaging under 1.5 goals per game, a low-scoring affair is on the cards. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Augsburg have enjoyed the stronger campaign, sitting 9th with 43 points from 33 games. Union Berlin, meanwhile, are in 12th on 36 points, and both sides carry negative goal differences reflecting defensive frailties. The table below shows the current standings snapshot ahead of this match.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 9 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| Union Berlin | 12 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 36 |
Potential Match-Winners
Neither team features among the Bundesliga’s top individual performers, but a few names stand out for their roles:
- Andrej Ilić (Union Berlin) – Frequently deployed up front, has contributed key goals and provides a physical presence in the box.
- Michael Gregoritsch (Augsburg) – The main attacking threat, with a knack for finding space and a solid shot accuracy rate.
- Danilho Doekhi (Union Berlin) – Not only a defensive organiser but also a threat from set pieces, part of the reason Union’s defenders have contributed 10 goals.
- Elvis Rexhbeçaj (Augsburg) – A creative midfielder with good passing numbers, helping drive Augsburg’s improved ball progression (78.7% pass accuracy).
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six encounters between these sides have been closely fought, with Augsburg winning three, Union Berlin taking one, and two draws. Recent history points to a balanced fixture, but Augsburg have enjoyed the edge in the rivalry overall.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 15/01/26 | Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 17/05/25 | Augsburg 1-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 15/01/25 | Union Berlin 0-2 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 12/04/24 | Augsburg 2-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 25/11/23 | Union Berlin 1-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 06/05/23 | Augsburg 1-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
Final thoughts
Will Augsburg’s away strength and sharper attacking edge be enough to see off an inconsistent Union Berlin, or can the hosts turn the tables at home? Augsburg’s superior record in this fixture, better shot accuracy and more reliable ball retention make them a value pick on the road. If you’re looking for a confident selection, consider Augsburg to win at 7/5 (41.7%) @ Matchbook, but don’t overlook the potential for a low-scoring, cagey contest as both teams aim to end the season with a positive result.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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