With a spot in the League One playoff final on the line, Stockport County host Stevenage in a clash that pits the league’s most prolific attack against one of its toughest defences.
The Hatters’ goal tally dwarfs their visitors, but Stevenage arrive with the recent head-to-head edge and a reputation for shutting teams out. The action kicks off at Edgeley Park, and both sides know a result here will define their seasons.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on attacking stats, defensive records and recent head-to-head form, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Stockport County to win, given their home strength and attacking firepower.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County to Win | 4/5 @ Betfair (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Stockport due to their league-best attacking output (72 goals, 47 assists), strong home form, and a superior shot accuracy (40.6%). Stevenage have just one win in their last three away games vs Stockport and have scored 23 fewer league goals. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 8/11 @ Betfair (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing the under: four of the last six head-to-heads saw two or fewer goals, and Stevenage’s defensive solidity (46 conceded, 19 clean sheets) sets up a cagey contest. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Both sides secured a play-off berth, with Stockport’s attack powering them to third, while Stevenage’s defensive grit has kept them in the top six.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 77 |
| Stevenage | 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 75 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Kyle Wootton (Stockport County): With 19 league goals (0.4 per game) and a shot accuracy of 37.9%, Wootton is the Hatters’ main threat in front of goal. His ability to get into scoring positions has been key.
- Isaac Olaofe (Stockport County): A lively forward with pace and direct running, often tasked with stretching defences and creating space for Wootton.
- Carl Piergianni (Stevenage): A defensive leader, pivotal in Stevenage’s 19 clean sheets and likely to be tasked with marshalling the Stockport attack.
- Jordan Roberts (Stevenage): Chimes in with key goals and can impact the game on the counter, especially if Stevenage sit deep and look to break.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Both sides have won three of the last six meetings, highlighting no real consistency for either team. The first leg of this tie was won by Stockport 1-0, with Stevenage needing to overturn that deficit to progress.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | Stevenage 0-1 Stockport County | League One |
| 28/02/26 | Stevenage 2-1 Stockport County | League One |
| 13/12/25 | Stockport County 1-3 Stevenage | League One |
| 01/04/25 | Stockport County 3-0 Stevenage | League One |
| 14/12/24 | Stevenage 2-1 Stockport County | League One |
| 18/02/23 | Stockport County 2-0 Stevenage | League Two |
Conclusion: Which Will Prevail – Attack or Defence?
With Stockport County’s firepower and Stevenage’s defensive resilience, this match is finely poised. Will Stockport’s home advantage and goalscoring prowess see them take the points, or will Stevenage’s organisation frustrate their hosts again? Given the numbers, Stockport look a solid pick for the win at 4/5 with Betfair (55.6% implied), but don’t rule out a low-scoring affair where defences could dominate.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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