Villarreal travel to Mallorca with the momentum of a top-three La Liga campaign and a recent 5-1 thrashing of Levante, while the hosts cling to safety in the bottom half.
The standout storyline is Villarreal’s clinical attack—third-best in the league—against a Mallorca side almost entirely reliant on Vedat Muriqi. Kick-off is set for 13:00 on Sunday at Iberostar Estadi, with both teams seeking to finish the season strongly.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the attacking gulf between these sides and recent individual form, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We’re most confident in Villarreal to win, given their superior firepower and historic head-to-head edge.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal to Win | 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Villarreal have won six of the last eleven meetings and boast the league’s second-best attack (64 goals, 1.88 per game). With two in-form scorers and a far superior goal difference, they’re well-placed to take three points in Palma. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Villarreal’s attack is in top gear (5 goals last outing, 64 overall), while Mallorca concede 1.5 per game. Four of the last six head-to-heads have gone over 2.5, and both sides have reasons to play open football as the campaign winds down. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Villarreal are riding high in third place with a 62% win rate, while Mallorca sit 15th, having won just 10 of 34 league games. Villarreal’s goal difference (+25) dwarfs Mallorca’s (-9), underlining the difference in both ends of the pitch.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 3 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 68 |
| Mallorca | 15 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 38 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): 21 goals in 34 games—50% of Mallorca’s total. He averages 0.62 goals per game and regularly outperforms his xG, making him a threat even in lower-chance matches. Shot accuracy: 37.7%.
- Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal): 11 goals, including a brace last time out. He’s running hot above his xG and is key when Villarreal need a breakthrough.
- Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal): 10 goals, 4 assists, and an elite 96.97% pass completion in his last match—he orchestrates attacks and chips in with goals from midfield.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
In the last six meetings, Villarreal have dominated, winning four and losing only once to Mallorca.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 | Villarreal 2-1 Mallorca | Primera División |
| 20/01/25 | Villarreal 4-0 Mallorca | Primera División |
| 14/09/24 | Mallorca 1-2 Villarreal | Primera División |
| 20/01/24 | Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca | Primera División |
| 18/08/23 | Mallorca 0-1 Villarreal | Primera División |
| 18/02/23 | Mallorca 4-2 Villarreal | Primera División |
Conclusion
Will Mallorca’s home edge and Muriqi’s individual brilliance be enough to halt Villarreal’s relentless attack? The stats suggest Villarreal’s superiority in both firepower and recent form could prove decisive. Our strongest lean is Villarreal to win at 2/1 (33.3%) with Bet365, offering real value for punters looking for a bold away selection.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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