Werder Bremen and Augsburg are set to clash at Weserstadoin in a meeting with plenty at stake for both sides.
With just five points separating the teams in the Bundesliga standings, and their last encounter ending goalless, the stage is set for a finely balanced contest defined by midfield control and attacking efficiency. Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 2 May.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the season’s attacking output and recent head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the match result angle, given Werder Bremen’s slight edge in possession and home advantage, while Augsburg’s ability to find the net keeps other markets in play.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen to Win | 20/21 @ Bet365 (51.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing Werder Bremen to win because they have a strong home record in this fixture (4 home wins in last 7 vs Augsburg) and edge the possession and passing stats this season. Their last head-to-head here saw Bremen win 2-0, and Augsburg have conceded more goals than any other top-12 side. |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 11/8 @ Bet365 (42.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to both teams’ defensive frailties: Bremen and Augsburg have conceded 54 and 55 goals respectively in 31 matches, and recent meetings have produced some high-scoring outcomes. With both sides averaging more than a goal per game, this could open up if there’s an early breakthrough. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Werder Bremen have climbed from 15th to 12th in recent weeks, while Augsburg remain in the top half but with the league’s leakiest defence outside the bottom five. Both sides have posted similar attacking numbers (Bremen 36 goals, Augsburg 39), but each concedes at a rate of 1.7+ goals per match.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 12 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 32 |
| Augsburg | 9 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 37 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Jens Stage (Werder Bremen): The club’s leading scorer this season with 10 goals, Stage also chips in with 2 assists. He’s not the most accurate passer (75.5%), but his knack for finding goals from midfield makes him Bremen’s go-to man in the final third.
- Samuel Tshifunda (Werder Bremen): With a shot accuracy of 57% and a pass accuracy of nearly 87%, Tshifunda offers both efficient finishing and secure ball retention when Bremen look to move through midfield.
- Alexis Claude-Maurice (Augsburg): Five goals and four assists underline his balanced contribution, but it’s his 84.5% pass accuracy that impresses most. He’s pivotal in linking Augsburg’s attacks and creating chances for teammates.
- Fabian Rieder (Augsburg): Augsburg’s top scorer with six goals, Rieder is more of a volume shooter than an efficient one (29% shot accuracy), but his ability to get into scoring positions keeps defences occupied.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Recent meetings between these two sides have been remarkably even, with both sides winning twice and the other two matches ending in draws.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 | Augsburg 0-0 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 19/01/25 | Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 24/08/24 | Augsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 27/04/24 | Augsburg 0-3 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 09/12/23 | Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 04/03/23 | Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Conclusion: Who Has the Edge?
Will Werder Bremen’s improved home form and midfield control be enough to overcome Augsburg’s more clinical finishing and attacking depth? The stats suggest a closely fought game, but with Bremen edging the head-to-head at home and Augsburg regularly conceding on their travels, there’s value in backing the home side at 20/21 with Bet365 (51.2% implied probability). Over 3.5 goals at 11/8 (42.1%) could also reward those expecting an open contest.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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