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Squawka / News / Sevilla vs Real Sociedad: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sevilla face Real Sociedad in a high-stakes clash at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Monday evening, with both clubs desperate for points at opposite ends of the La Liga table.

Sevilla, battling to avoid the drop in 18th, meet a Real Sociedad side still fighting for a European spot. With recent head-to-heads often tightly contested and key players in form, expect a match shaped by fine margins and standout individual moments.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on strong underlying attacking numbers for Real Sociedad and Sevilla’s defensive vulnerabilities, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in “Both Teams to Score – Yes” due to both sides’ consistent attacking output and questionable defending in recent weeks.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score – Yes8/11 @ Bet365
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We’re backing goals at both ends – Sevilla have conceded in 10 of their last 11, while Sociedad have only one clean sheet in their last nine. Both teams average over 1.2 goals per game and boast attacking threats in Oyarzabal and Adams.
Real Sociedad to Win15/8 @ Bet365
(34.5%)
⭐⭐⭐Sociedad have won 3 of the last 5 against Sevilla and possess the sharper attack, converting at a rate well above their xG. Sevilla have the worst defensive record in the league at home this season (55 conceded).

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Season Form & Standings

Sevilla are mired in relegation trouble, sitting 18th with just 34 points from 33 matches, and a goal difference of -15. Real Sociedad are eighth, with a neutral goal difference and the league’s sixth-best attack by goals scored, but their defence has also allowed 52 goals. Both sides are inconsistent – Sevilla have just two wins in their last ten, while Sociedad have drawn three of their last five.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sevilla183397174155-1534
Real Sociedad8331110125252043

Potential Match-Winners

  • Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad): 14 league goals, 3 assists, and the league’s highest xG among Sociedad players. Directly involved in nearly a quarter of his side’s goals; averages close to 3 shots per 90.
  • Gonçalo Guedes (Real Sociedad): 8 goals, 4 assists, and the most big chances created among Sociedad’s midfielders. His wide play and ball-carrying are crucial for unlocking defences.
  • Akor Adams (Sevilla): Top scorer for Sevilla with 8 goals and 3 assists. Boasts a conversion rate above 50%, making him a threat even with limited opportunities.
  • Ruben Vargas (Sevilla): 5 assists – the most in Sevilla’s squad – and 3 goals. Most creative player in the side and key to setting up Adams.
  • Alejandro Remiro (Real Sociedad): 85 saves this season (league-high in this fixture), but facing a high volume of shots due to Sociedad’s open style.
  • Odysseas Vlachodimos (Sevilla): 83 saves, 4 clean sheets, and often called upon when Sevilla’s back line is breached.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Recent history points to closely matched contests, with both sides recording wins and four of the last six meetings seeing both teams score. Sociedad have edged the fixture overall, winning four of the last six.

DateScoreCompetition
24/10/25Real Sociedad 2-1 SevillaLa Liga
09/03/25Real Sociedad 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
03/11/24Sevilla 0-2 Real SociedadLa Liga
02/03/24Sevilla 3-2 Real SociedadLa Liga
26/11/23Real Sociedad 2-1 SevillaLa Liga
04/06/23Real Sociedad 2-1 SevillaLa Liga

Conclusion: Will Sociedad’s Attack Outmuscle Sevilla’s Desperation?

With both attacks firing and neither defence particularly solid, this match is set up for an entertaining contest at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Real Sociedad’s finishing has outperformed expectations all season, while Sevilla concede more than they should and need a result to escape the drop zone. A bet on Both Teams to Score – Yes with Bet365 at 8/11 (57.9%) looks the value play for punters expecting an open, end-to-end affair.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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