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Squawka / News / Girona vs Real Mallorca: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Girona vs Real Mallorca: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Girona and Real Mallorca meet in a high-stakes clash at Montilivi, with both sides desperate for points as they look to pull clear of the lower reaches of the La Liga table.

The encounter kicks off at 20:00 on Friday, and while both teams have struggled for consistency, recent head-to-heads have thrown up drama and goals in equal measure. Can Girona’s technical edge at home make the difference, or will Mallorca’s talisman Vedat Muriqi prove decisive once more?

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on the high goals conceded, strong attacking stats, and Girona’s sharpness at home, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing both teams to score due to the attacking threat and defensive frailty on display.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score – Yes4/6 @ Bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Both sides have conceded over 1.5 goals per game on average (Girona 50, Mallorca 51 in 33 games) and clean sheets are rare. Attacking output is strong, with Girona’s midfielders and Mallorca’s strikers particularly prolific. 5 of the last 7 meetings have produced goals at both ends.
Vedat Muriqi Anytime Scorer6/4 @ Betfair (40%)⭐⭐⭐Muriqi has 21 league goals, accounting for more than half of Mallorca’s striker tally. He’s netted in a variety of ways (6 headers, 20 in the box) and started 31 of 33 games, making him the likeliest Mallorca scorer.

Odds correct at the time of writing.


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Season Form & Standings

Both teams have hovered above the drop zone, with Girona just three points clear of Mallorca. Mallorca edge the head-to-head in goals scored and have a slightly better goal difference, but both are vulnerable defensively.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Girona1533911133650-1438
Mallorca173398164151-1035

Potential Match-Winners

  • Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): 21 goals, started 31/33 games; 6 headed goals, 20 inside the box, 207 duels won. He is Mallorca’s main attacking threat and is involved in almost every attack.
  • Viktor Tsygankov (Girona): Known for creative output and dribbling, part of a midfield that has contributed 16 goals this season. Key for unlocking Mallorca’s defence.
  • Abel Ruiz (Girona): Provides a physical presence up front; although Girona’s strikers have contributed less than Mallorca’s, Ruiz helps create space for their goal-scoring midfield.
  • Sergi Darder (Mallorca): Experienced, with a knack for setting the tempo and picking passes into the final third. He’s Mallorca’s main creative spark alongside Muriqi.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Girona have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last six meetings, including the reverse fixture in January. Four of those matches saw both teams find the net.

DateScoreCompetition
04/01/26Mallorca 1-2 GironaLa Liga
05/05/25Girona 1-0 MallorcaLa Liga
14/12/24Mallorca 2-1 GironaLa Liga
03/03/24Mallorca 1-0 GironaLa Liga
23/09/23Girona 5-3 MallorcaLa Liga
04/05/23Girona 2-1 MallorcaLa Liga

Final Thoughts

With both teams showing defensive vulnerability and a preference for open, attacking football, this match could deliver plenty of goalmouth action. Girona’s technical quality and spread of goals give them a slight edge at home, but Mallorca’s reliance on Muriqi for goals – and his proven record – means the visitors are always in with a chance. Will Girona’s home record and midfield threat prove too strong, or can Muriqi spoil the party again? Our value pick is both teams to score at 4/6 with Bet365 (60.0%) – a trend that’s hit more often than not between these sides.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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