Saturday’s clash between Alaves and Mallorca at Mendizorrotza is loaded with tension, as both sides find themselves hovering just above the drop zone with only a handful of games left in the La Liga season.
Kick-off is at 13:00 on 25 April, and with the two sides separated by two points, the stakes could hardly be higher. The recent head-to-head record favours Mallorca, but neither side boasts convincing form in either penalty area, promising a nervy encounter that could swing on fine margins.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Mallorca’s sharper finishing, Alaves’s home struggles, and the historic tendency for tight, low-scoring affairs between these two, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Mallorca on the Double Chance due to their superior record in recent meetings and Alaves’s leaky defence.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca Double Chance (Win or Draw) | Betfair 7/10 (58.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Mallorca have lost just two of the last nine against Alaves and are unbeaten in their last three away H2Hs. Alaves have only managed three clean sheets all season and have struggled for wins at home. |
| Vedat Muriqi Anytime Scorer | SkyBet 21/10 (32.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Mallorca’s main man has 21 goals from 96 shots this season, outperforming his xG by a wide margin. Given Alaves’s record of conceding in 29 of 32 league matches, Muriqi’s threat can’t be ignored. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Alaves are sitting 18th with 33 points while Mallorca are just ahead in 15th with two points more. Mallorca also have the edge in goal difference. Recent form hasn’t seen either side pull clear of trouble, with both on a run of inconsistent results.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 18 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
| Mallorca | 15 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 35 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): 21 goals from 96 shots this season, with a shot accuracy of 36.2%. He’s scoring at nearly double his xG, highlighting both quality service and deadly finishing.
- Lucas Boyé (Alaves): Key attacking outlet with a knack for finding space in the box, though his output has lagged behind Muriqi’s.
- Jon Guridi (Alaves): Midfield engine, regularly among the top for passes completed and work rate—vital in transitions and breaking up play.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Mallorca have had the better of recent encounters, losing just once in the last six, with most matches tight and cagey and only one match seeing more than 2.5 goals.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 | Mallorca 1-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| 02/03/25 | Mallorca 1-1 Alaves | La Liga |
| 01/11/24 | Alaves 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 24/02/24 | Alaves 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 03/12/23 | Mallorca 0-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| 19/04/22 | Mallorca 2-1 Alaves | La Liga |
Conclusion
With both sides desperate for points, will Mallorca’s clinical edge and strong head-to-head record see them edge out an Alaves team that has struggled for consistency at home? There could be real value in Mallorca to avoid defeat at 7/10 (58.8%) with Betfair, especially given Alaves’s defensive vulnerabilities and Mallorca’s knack for grinding out results in tight matches.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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