Fiorentina and Sassuolo meet in Florence with both sides desperate to finish the Serie A season on a high.
Fresh from a 3-1 defeat away to Sassuolo earlier in the campaign, Fiorentina will be keen to restore some pride at home. Kick-off is set for 11:30 on Sunday at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, where the hosts’ ball retention faces a stern test against Sassuolo’s sharper attack.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the season’s key numbers, our top betting recommendations for Fiorentina vs Sassuolo focus on value in the match result and both teams to score markets. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net, given how evenly matched these sides are defensively and the attacking creativity on display.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score – Yes | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing both teams to score because both have conceded over 40 goals this season, and Sassuolo’s attack is among the most efficient in Serie A (37.6% shot accuracy). Fiorentina create plenty of chances at home, while Sassuolo’s creative spark in Lauriente boosts their threat on the road. |
| Sassuolo Draw No Bet | 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value in Sassuolo on the Draw No Bet line. They’ve won seven of the last 17 head-to-heads and have more wins this season (13 to Fiorentina’s 8), with a better shot-on-target rate and more assists. Fiorentina’s home form is patchy, so the safety net appeals. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
This Serie A clash comes late in the 2025/26 season, with Fiorentina struggling for consistency and Sassuolo outperforming expectations. Fiorentina sit 15th with just eight wins from 33, while Sassuolo are 10th, boasting a far superior win ratio and a slightly better defensive record.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 10 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 45 |
| Fiorentina | 15 | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Armand Lauriente (Sassuolo): 8 assists, 46 big-chance assists, 83.9% pass accuracy – the key creative force for Sassuolo and a threat on set pieces and open play.
- Andrea Pinamonti (Sassuolo): Reliable forward presence; expect shots on target and heavy involvement in attack, especially with Fiorentina’s defence conceding 45 goals this season.
- Jack Harrison (Fiorentina): Direct attacker, will be vital in transition and can test Sassuolo’s keeper, who has faced 121 shots on target this term.
- Gabriele Bertolini (Fiorentina): Likely to be involved in key attacking moves, though Fiorentina lack a standout scorer this season.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
These sides are closely matched in recent years, with Sassuolo just edging the last 17 meetings by seven wins to six. The most recent six encounters have featured plenty of goals and only one draw.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | Sassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 28/04/24 | Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 06/01/24 | Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 02/06/23 | Sassuolo 1-3 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 07/01/23 | Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 16/05/22 | Sassuolo 2-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Fiorentina’s ball control deliver a much-needed win, or will Sassuolo’s attacking edge and recent away form prove decisive? With both teams showing defensive frailties and Sassuolo’s creative playmakers in form, there’s plenty of reason to expect goals. Our preferred bet remains Both Teams To Score at 8/11 (57.9%) with Bet365, which looks well priced for this open encounter.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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