This Saturday sees Parma welcome bottom-side Pisa to the Stadio Ennio Tardini in a Serie A clash where both sides are desperate for points, albeit for very different reasons.
Parma, sitting just above the drop zone, have already edged Pisa once this season and will be looking to repeat the feat in front of their home fans. Pisa, meanwhile, arrive with the league’s leakiest defence and just two wins from 33 attempts in the 2025/26 campaign. Kick-off is set for 14:00 on 25 April.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on defensive stats, head-to-head results and Pisa’s struggles away from home, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Parma to secure a home win, given their superior defensive record and Pisa’s ongoing issues at the back.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma to Win | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Parma to win because they’ve already beaten Pisa away this season and boast a defensive record (11 clean sheets) that dwarfs Pisa’s. Pisa have lost 19 of 33 games and conceded 60 goals – more than any other side in the division. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Parma’s solid defensive form at home (11 clean sheets) and Pisa’s lack of firepower – both sides have only managed 24 goals each in 33 fixtures. Their only H2H this season finished 1-0 to Parma. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Parma have been treading water just above the relegation places, while Pisa are rooted to the bottom with the worst defensive record in the league. Both sides have struggled for goals, but Parma’s ability to keep clean sheets has kept them afloat.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 14 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 39 |
| Pisa | 20 | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Matija Frigan (Parma): Leads the line for Parma and offers a threat in behind, though supply has often been limited. Look for him to target Pisa’s shaky backline, which has conceded 60 goals.
- Gabriel Strefezza (Parma): Known for his creativity, he’s responsible for a large share of Parma’s 257 key passes this season (almost 8 per game as a team), and could unlock the Pisa defence.
- Rafiu Durosinmi (Pisa): Pisa’s main attacking outlet, but service has been sparse. With Pisa creating 38 big chances but missing 40, clinical finishing will be crucial.
- Simone Canestrelli (Pisa): Aerial presence at both ends, but with Pisa’s defensive record, he’ll be under pressure to lead a more resilient back line.
Head-to-Head – Last Meeting
There is little recent history between these teams, but Parma claimed a 1-0 away win earlier this campaign, solidifying a psychological edge at home.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 08/12/25 | Pisa 0-1 Parma | Serie A |
Will Parma’s defence decide the day?
With Parma’s defensive structure and Pisa’s inability to keep teams out, the home side look the safer pick in a game where goals could be at a premium. Will Parma’s back line once again prove the difference, or can Pisa finally find an edge away from home? Our money is on Parma to deliver at 11/10 with Bet365 (47.6%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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