RB Leipzig welcome Union Berlin in a match that pits one of the Bundesliga’s sharpest attacks against a side struggling for fluency in front of goal.
The hosts sit comfortably in the Champions League spots and have dominated the stat sheets all season, while Union Berlin are still looking for consistency—and a way to halt a worrying run of results. Kick-off is at 19:30 on Friday 24 April, and fans will be eager to see if Union can upset the odds on the road once more.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the gulf in attacking quality and seasonal trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in RB Leipzig’s attacking output, but also see value in goal markets and the risk of a one-sided contest.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 Goals | 13/10 @ Bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing over 3.5 goals because RB Leipzig games average nearly 3.2 goals per match, and their attacking stats (59 goals, 476 shots) suggest they’ll keep pushing the tempo. Union have defensive weaknesses—conceding 52 already—and Leipzig’s big chance creation points to a high-scoring affair, especially with both teams missing more than they convert. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 2.08 @ Matchbook (48.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing ‘No’ because Union Berlin average only 1.13 goals per game and struggle for possession and shot accuracy (31%). Leipzig’s defence is robust at home, and several recent head-to-heads have featured shutouts. There’s a solid chance only one side finds the net. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Dabble sign-up offer: Bet £10+ & Receive £10 In Free Bets
Not signed up to Dabble yet? Here's how to claim the Bet £10+ & Receive £10 In Free Bets welcome offer:
- Sign up to Dabble through this link
- Register your account with accurate personal details
- Place your first bet of £10 or more
- Receive your £10 in free bets when your qualifying bet has setted
- Use your Free Bet on any eligible sportsbook market within 7 days
#AD 18+ 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. GambleAware.org
Season Form & Standings
RB Leipzig have been among the league’s most consistent outfits, boasting a 60% win rate and the Bundesliga’s third-best attack. Union Berlin, by contrast, have spent much of the campaign in the lower mid-table, hampered by a leaky defence and a blunt frontline.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 37 | +22 | 59 |
| Union Berlin | 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 32 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig): 12 goals and 7 assists, constantly involved in high-value attacks—averaging a key attacking contribution every 160 minutes.
- Yan Diomande (RB Leipzig): 12 goals, 6 assists, and a standout 48% shot accuracy; adds big chance creation (49 BCAs), making him a threat in and around the box.
- David Raum (RB Leipzig): Only 3 goals, but 6 assists and an eye-watering 94 big chance assists from fullback—expect him to be prominent on set pieces and in open play.
- Andrej Ilic (Union Berlin): Union’s best creative spark with 8 assists, but with just 2 goals and a modest 37% shot accuracy, his output does not compare to Leipzig’s main men.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Union Berlin have frustrated Leipzig in previous encounters, notching 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 meetings, but RB Leipzig will be aiming to reverse that trend at home.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 | Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 01/02/25 | Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 14/09/24 | RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 04/02/24 | RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 03/09/23 | Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 11/02/23 | RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
Will RB Leipzig’s attack outgun Union’s resistance?
RB Leipzig have the statistical edge across the board, but Union Berlin’s stubbornness in this fixture means a straightforward home win is never guaranteed. The best value for punters could be in the goals markets, with 13/10 @ Bet365 (43.5%) for over 3.5 goals standing out. With Leipzig’s creative power and Union’s history of upset, this one offers several angles for bettors.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
