Real Sociedad return to Estadio Municipal de Anoeta for a crucial La Liga clash with Deportivo Alaves, with both sides aiming to sharpen their mid-table credentials as the 2025/26 season enters its final stretch.
The hosts hold a superior head-to-head record, but Alaves have triumphed in the last two meetings, adding an extra layer of intrigue to Saturday’s 13:00 kick-off.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Real Sociedad’s attacking edge and the recent tightness of these fixtures, here are our top betting recommendations for this Basque derby. We’re especially drawn to Mikel Oyarzabal to score at any time, given his status as Real Sociedad’s top marksman and his consistent involvement in key moments.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Oyarzabal Anytime Goalscorer | 5/4 @ Sky Bet (44.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Oyarzabal leads Real Sociedad in goals (12 in 27) and remains a constant threat, averaging nearly a goal every two games. Alaves have kept just three clean sheets all season, so backing the Basque striker at a strong price makes sense. |
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 5/6 @ Betfair (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides rank in the league’s bottom half for clean sheets, and four of the last six meetings have seen goals at both ends. With neither defence reliable, there’s value in BTTS Yes at odds above evens. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Real Sociedad sit 7th (41 pts), while Deportivo Alaves are in 15th (32 pts). Both sides have had inconsistent campaigns, with Sociedad boasting a better attack and Alaves struggling to keep goals out. The standings below show the full context for both clubs’ campaigns.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 41 |
| Deportivo Alaves | 15 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 32 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad): 12 goals from 27 league games, with a shot accuracy of over 50%. Oyarzabal averages 0.44 goals per 90 and is also involved in creative play (3 assists).
- Lucas Boyé (Deportivo Alaves): The Argentine striker has 10 goals in 24 appearances, averaging 2.5 shots per match. If Alaves score, he’s likely to be involved.
- Gonçalo Guedes (Real Sociedad): 8 goals and 4 assists in 30 matches underline his dual threat. Guedes also creates over 1.5 big chances per game, making him a key supply line.
- Carles Aleñá (Deportivo Alaves): 4 assists and an average of 1.2 key passes per game. He orchestrates much of Alaves’ attacking play from midfield.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
These Basque rivals have traded blows in recent years, with just one of the last six meetings ending in a draw and Alaves remarkably winning three of the last four, despite Real Sociedad’s overall historical advantage.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad | Primera División |
| 23/04/25 | Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad | Primera División |
| 28/08/24 | Real Sociedad 1-2 Deportivo Alaves | Primera División |
| 31/03/24 | Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Real Sociedad | Primera División |
| 02/01/24 | Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo Alaves | Primera División |
| 13/03/22 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Deportivo Alaves | Primera División |
Conclusion: Will Real Sociedad’s Attack Prove Decisive?
Despite Alaves’ recent successes in the Basque derby, the underlying stats favour Real Sociedad – a superior shot conversion rate, more big chances created, and multiple attacking threats. With Oyarzabal’s scoring form and both sides’ leaky backlines, this could be the day Sociedad restore order at home. Our standout pick is Oyarzabal to score any time at 5/4 (44.4%) with Sky Bet – a value play for those seeking a goalscorer angle.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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