USA and Belgium meet in a friendly at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with both sides gearing up for the 2026 World Cup.
USA are unbeaten in their last five matches, while Belgium see their unbeaten run stretch to nine games. Which side will come out on top when they meet at 19:30 on Saturday 28 March?
Best Bets & Predictions
With both sides possessing a good recent record and both teams scoring in the last four USA matches, we’re backing both teams to find the net in this one. With Belgium winning six of their last nine games and and drawing at half time in two of them, we’re backing them to continue the trend with Half Time/Full Time – Draw/Belgium.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams to score looks a strong bet: USA average 2.04 goals per game and have scored in 87% of home matches, while Belgium average 1.73 goals scored. Recent form shows USA scoring 2.4 per game and Belgium 3.6, with both conceding under 1 per match, suggesting attacking quality on both sides. |
| Half Time/Full Time – Draw/Belgium | 5/1 @ Betway (16.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Half Time/Full Time – Draw/Belgium is a smart angle: USA are unbeaten in five home matches, with three wins and a draw, suggesting they can keep it tight early. Belgium, however, average 4 goals across their last six games and often score heavily late, supporting a second-half breakthrough and eventual win. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Recent Form
USA’s recent form across their last six matches has been impressive, winning four, drawing one and losing once. They’ve scored 12 goals (2.0 per game) and conceded six, with BTTS landing in four of those fixtures, showing a mix of attacking strength and occasional defensive vulnerability.
Recent standout results include a 5-1 win over Uruguay and consecutive 2-1 victories against Paraguay and Australia, underlining consistent goal output. They’ve scored in 90% of recent matches and average 1.9 goals per game overall, while conceding 1.2 per match.
All six games have seen over 1.5 goals, with 50% going over 2.5, highlighting generally open matches. However, only one clean sheet in six suggests defensive inconsistency. Overall, the USA combine strong attacking rhythm with a tendency to concede, making them entertaining but not always fully secure defensively.
Belgium’s recent form across their last six matches has been excellent, remaining unbeaten with four wins and two draws. They’ve scored 24 goals (4 per game) while conceding just three, highlighting both attacking power and defensive control. Notable results include 7-0 (vs Liechtenstein) and 6-0 victories (vs Liechtenstein and Kazakhstan), alongside a 4-2 win away to Wales.
Over those six games, 83% have gone over 2.5 goals, while clean sheets have been recorded in four matches, showing a balance between dominance and occasional concessions. Belgium also average 3.63 goals scored and just 0.88 conceded in qualifying overall, with 61% possession and strong passing accuracy.
BTTS has landed in two of their last six fixtures, reflecting their attacking intent but slight defensive vulnerability. Overall, Belgium combine elite scoring consistency with controlled build-up play, making them one of the most potent attacking sides in Europe heading into this fixture.
USA team news
USA head into the Belgium friendly with several key absences. Tyler Adams is ruled out with an MCL injury, while Sergiño Dest (hamstring) and Haji Wright (groin) also miss out, limiting depth in midfield and attack.
However, the squad remains strong, with Christian Pulisic, Weston McKennie and Folarin Balogun leading the attack. Giovanni Reyna also returns despite limited club minutes, while younger players have been called up as Mauricio Pochettino assesses options ahead of the World Cup.
Belgium team news
Belgium’s squad for the USA friendly has been impacted by several key absences. Record goalscorer Romelu Lukaku has withdrawn to focus on recovering from a hamstring injury, leaving a major gap in attack.
Leandro Trossard and Hans Vanaken are also unavailable due to injury, further reducing attacking and midfield depth.
However, the squad still includes a mix of experienced players and emerging talents, with several young call-ups given opportunities as Belgium assess options ahead of the World Cup.
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
There have been four meetings between these two nations over the years, with Belgium coming out on top in three of them and USA picking up just a single victory, all the way back in 1930.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 01/07/14 | Belgium 0-0 USA (Belgium win 2-1 AET) | World Cup |
| 30/05/13 | USA 2-4 Belgium | Friendly |
| 06/09/11 | Belgium 1-0 USA | Friendly |
| 13/07/30 | USA 3-0 Belgium | World Cup |
Conclusion: Who comes out on top in key friendly?
USA and Belgium clash at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday night with both sides looking to gain momentum ahead of the World Cup. We’re backing both teams to score at 8/13 with Bet365 but, when looking for a little more value on prices, we like the look of Half Time/Full Time – Draw/Belgium at 5/1 with Betway.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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