Parma and Cremonese meet in a crucial Serie A clash at Stadio Ennio Tardini, with both sides desperate to get back on track. Kick-off is set for 14:00 on Saturday, and while Parma sit clear of the drop, Cremonese are deep in relegation trouble.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on defensive trends and both teams’ struggles in front of goal, our strongest selection is under 2.5 goals. Parma’s superior clean sheet record and Cremonese’s lack of cutting edge suggest a low-scoring contest. We also see value in the draw, with the sides sharing the spoils in their previous encounter and neither attack inspiring much confidence. For a player angle, consider a card market given the high card counts on both sides.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We are backing under 2.5 because both teams lack cutting edge (Parma: 21 goals, Cremonese: 23 in 29 games), and their last meeting finished 0-0. Parma keep clean sheets in one-third of matches, while Cremonese average under a goal per away game. Odds reflect a probability edge for a low-scoring encounter. |
| Draw | 9/4 @ Betfair (30.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to the balance of both teams. The reverse fixture ended in a draw, and Parma have drawn 10 of 29 matches this season, while Cremonese have 9 draws. Neither side possesses a consistent match-winner, making another stalemate likely at a generous price. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
Parma sit 12th, with a comfortable gap above the bottom three but a negative goal difference reflecting their struggles going forward. Cremonese, meanwhile, are 18th and in the relegation zone, conceding over 1.5 goals per game and with the second-worst defensive record in the league. Both sides have found wins hard to come by, with 8 victories for Parma and just 5 for Cremonese in 29 matches.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 12 | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 34 |
| Cremonese | 18 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 24 |
Potential Match-Winners
Neither side boasts a top-10 league scorer or assister, which underlines the collective nature of their approach. For Parma, Nesta Elphege and Matija Frigan could be the difference-makers up front, with the team looking for more cutting edge in the box. Frigan’s movement and Elphege’s touches in the attacking third (Parma average nearly 16 touches in the opposition box per game) could be key. On Cremonese’s side, David Okereke and Federico Bonazzoli will be tasked with carrying the attacking threat, with Okereke’s pace and Bonazzoli’s physical presence offering different problems for the Parma backline. Both teams have struggled to convert their chances (shot accuracy below 40%), so whoever can find a clinical edge could tilt the balance.
Head-to-Head
Last 6 Meetings
These sides have met just once in recent seasons, playing out a 0-0 draw earlier in this campaign.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 | Cremonese 0-0 Parma | Serie A |
Will Parma’s defence hold firm or can Cremonese find a way?
The hard facts are that neither side has inspired consistently in attack, but Parma’s defensive numbers are notably stronger and they’ve proven difficult to break down at home. Cremonese’s leaky defence and lack of a reliable scorer leave them vulnerable, especially in a match where one mistake could prove costly. We’re siding with a low-scoring contest, backing under 2.5 goals at 4/6 (60.0%) with Bet365 as the standout selection for value and probability. Can Parma’s organisation and home comfort see them claim a result, or will Cremonese’s desperation spark a late-season revival?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
